Titanic Struggle Recap

Bailey terrific in 2016 debut, Reds win 5th straight series

Homer Bailey was terrific in his 2016 debut, returning from Tommy John Surgery. It was Bailey’s first healthy start since 2014. He allowed just two runs over 5.2 innings, and at one point retired 13 consecutive batters. Jose Peraza provided the offense, hitting a two-run home run in the second inning. It was Peraza’s first big league home run.

The Reds bullpen did their job, holding the Padres scoreless for 3.1 innings. The Reds held on for a 3-2 win, taking two of three from the Padres. The Reds have won five consecutive series, and are now 10-5 since the all-star break. The Reds finished 13-11 in July, their first winning month of 2016.

Final R H E
Cincinnati Reds (42-62) 3 9 0
San Diego Padres (45-60) 2 5 0
W: Bailey (1-0) L: Clemens (1-2) S: Cingrani (13)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Box Score | Game Thread

RedsPadres WPA

Biggest Play of the Game

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Michael Lorenzen striking out Jabari Blash with the bases loaded for the second out of the inning. Reds lead 3-2. That play increased the Reds chances of winning by 19.9% (from 46.4% to 64.2%).

Player of the Game

Homer Bailey: 5.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 6 K, 2.61 FIP

Bailey2

It was awesome to see Bailey back on the hill. He dominated through the first five innings, and at one point retired 13 consecutive batters. He ran into trouble in the 6th inning, walking all three of his batters in the game in the inning. He had a bit of a mental breakdown when he walked he bases loaded, then turned around in frustration knowing he was going to be taken out of the game. Wil Myers alertly stole home without a throw. Still, none of that should take away from a really great first start back for Bailey. His stuff was electric today.

Positives

Jose Peraza hit his first big league home run! The only reason why Peraza was in the lineup was because Jay Bruce was a late scratch (“mental break”). Hopefully we will see a lot more of Peraza in the everyday lineup. He needs to be playing everyday somewhere.

Joey Votto extended his hitting streak to 15-games! He had a hit and walk today.

Blake Wood got Homer Bailey out of a bases loaded jam in the 6th inning with a strikeout. He also pitched a perfect 7th inning. Wood now has a very nice 3.26 ERA/3.20 FIP on the season. He was really nice free agent signing of Walt Jocketty this offseason.

Billy Hamilton had an “infield double” in the 9th inning. Yes, he made it to second base on a ground ball without an error.

All nine of the Reds starters (including Bailey!) had a hit.

Tony Cingrani pitched a perfect 9th, recording his 13th save of the season.

Negatives

It was a good day. Nothing to see here.

Not so random thoughts………

Tomorrow at 4:00 PM is the MLB trade deadline. It will be interesting to see what deals the Reds decide to make. Jay Bruce was given the day off today, and Price called it a “mental day” off. There are some rumors circulating that Dodgers and Giants are interested in Bruce, but nothing substantial yet. As always, stay tuned to to RN for the latest.

Up Next:

Cardinals at Reds
Tuesday, 7:10 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio, FOX Sports 1
Dan Straily (3.84 ERA) vs Adam Wainwright (4.16 ERA)

 

All photos, including the feature image, used courtesy of the Cincinnati Enquirer, and are used by permission.

39 thoughts on “Bailey terrific in 2016 debut, Reds win 5th straight series

  1. I saw Billy’s double. 2nd best piece of heads-up base running in the game. 1st was Meyers “stealing” home.

  2. Price made a point of mentioning the job Wood did in relief finishing off the 6th and pitching the 7th. I thought Bailey’s command overall was better than I could have expected. Postgame he said he got jammed on a pitch when batting in the top of the 6th and it took a bit to get all the feeling back in his hand.

  3. Great win. Before the season began, I thought we’d be terrible in the first half but be .500 or better in the second half. Good to see the Reds righting the ship and making that a reality…..so far. So, does anyone else think that 2017 could be a competitive year—-meaning, a chance at the wild card? Viewed in that lens, does it make sense to hold onto Cozart and Bruce until next year’s trade deadline and see if this group can gel ahead of schedule??? High stakes poker. It wouldn’t bother me if they held onto those guys for that very purpose, but only on the condition that Phillips sits or gets traded and they find a way to play Winker 4 times a week.

    • I agree Sultan

      Keep them. With Devin back next year lets just get healthy and see where we are in 12
      Months

      Then figure out who we want to be trading. Doesn’t appear the return will be great for Jay or Zack now

    • I’d love to believe they would be but I really doubt it. I’m thinking 2018 may be a chance for a winning season and 2019/2020 before really being a “good” team that challenges for the playoffs.

  4. Does anybody have video or a description of Hamilton’s “infield double”? I would love to know how that happened.

    • Hit it between 3rd baseman and shortstop. They both went for it and nearly collided. Ball rolled into the outfield grass and he kept running and made it to second without a throw. It wasn’t hit to hard and he would have made it to 1st easily.

    • Bleeder up the left side. 3B went for it and SS charged it (maybe called him off). Went between them and dribbled into LF. Hamilton saw that, turned the corner, and ended up on second.

    • Slow chopper to the left side…3rd baseman didn’t cut it off, SS couldn’t make the barehanded play as it trickled past him…Billy hustled to 2nd

  5. Price should get extended. Has earned it. Team playing hard. .500 for 2 months. 1 year

    • Meh. Team was playing hard in April May June too. They played better in July. Price should not be fired, but should not get extension.

  6. Replace Price with……who? Jim Riggleman? Barry Larkin? Getting rid of Price may or may not be the right move (I am not a Brian Price fan), but the pitching staff was pretty messed up due to injuries the first 2-1/2 months of the season. When Lorenzen, Iglesias and Desclafani came back, things started going in the right direction. You can’t blame the injuries on Price, can you?

    • The Reds gave Price a chance. He doesn’t bring anything to the role that we can’t live without. The Reds should keep looking.

      • Are there any managers who bring something that can’t be lived without? Most of them seem to win when they have talent and lose when they don’t so I would love to know what any manager could bring that is so important?

        • You can’t find the next great manager (or just a better one) of you don’t keep looking. If the Reds let him go, do you think Price will get hired to manage another team?

        • There really is no such thing as a great baseball manager. The
          ” best” mangers…Maddon, Pinella, Torre, Bochey, Baker, Francona, would’ve won about the same number of games as Price over the past 2.5 years. JJ Hoover is just as bad for Joe Maddon as for Price. Did you ever look at Casey Stengel’s record before and after the Yankees?

          Price likely gets another job if fired from the Reds. Price’s record is in line with Torre ( pre-Yankees), Francona in Philadelphia, Bochey in San Diego. They all won with talent and lost without.

        • I really just think that if this really is going to be Williams’ show as GM, he should get to pick who he wants to manage the team. It may end up being Price, who knows?

      • “He doesn’t bring anything to the role that we can’t live without.”
        A very foolish statement.
        Keep looking for what? Manny Acta? Lloyd McClendon? Eric Wedge? Who would you bring in?
        Keep searching for your pyrite.

        • As others are saying, what could he do to impress you? He’d impress you if the Reds had better players and were in 1st place. I’m neutral in this debate, but agree with Chuck that the players determine the success or failure of a team. Do all of Price’s decisions make obvious sense to me? No: I don’t like rigid closer protocol, and wonder why Peraza doesn’t play more. But we aren’t privy to what’s going on behind the scenes (I refer to pressure from ownership and/or management and player health, among other possibilities). I also don’t watch other teams consistently or with close attention, and expect that if I did, I’d disagree with their managers, too.

        • Oh boy, maybe they could hire Rigglemand or DeShields. That would really improve the team!!! You are so correct WV. I doubt Price will be managing the Reds past this season but if they hire the next one like they hired him, without a thorough search, then they may as well extend him another year or two.

  7. Its now time for Peraza to show off his utility abilities. He can sit on either end of the bench and sometimes in the middle.

    • Why was he playing shortstop in AAA if he isn’t going to play there in the majors?

      • Peraza has played SS a little with the Reds but Price for some reason likes DeJesus as the backup SS.

        There are a whole lot of converted SSs in the major leagues. In the minor leagues a good defensive IFer will pretty much be put their by default.

        In Peraza’s case, he still might be the SS of the future.

  8. Nice game by Homer Bailey. Not in game shape just yet. He was visibly gassed in the 6th inning.
    Not to pick nits, but I thought Bailey retired 14 in a row, not 13.
    Next 4 series are against NL Central teams. Hope they can keep the streak alive vs. the Cards.

  9. This was one of the few games in 2016 that I watched closely all the way thru. Glad I picked a winner.

    I started watching from the beginning because of Homer. From the 2nd thru the 5th innings, he looked like Good Homer, very sharp with multiple pitches, not even giving up a hard out.

  10. Homer made a huge defensive play in the 6th, tagging out Amarista trying to score on a pitch that got away from Barnhart. He had to turn and bend quickly and apply the tag directly to the left hand that was inches from the plate. He ought to coach Suarez on how to make a tag.

  11. After the tag out by Homer for the 2nd out in the 6th, he looked like he was out of the inning with a 3-1 lead when he got ahead of Jabari Blash 1-2. Blash is inexperienced and swings at just about everything , especially with 2 strikes, but Homer was tired at that point and lost him to a walk. He turned around out of frustration at that point and Myers, a really good player, seemed to be looking for that and raced home without a throw.

  12. I agree with FanGraphs that Michael Lorenzen striking out Jabari Blash with the bases loaded for the second out of the 8th inning was the game changer.

    It looked like the Reds were going to lose their 3-2 lead. Lorenzon was having trouble throwing strikes and with the bases loaded and 1 out, he went to 3-2 on Blash.
    A lucky 3-2 because Blash had swung at least at 2 pitches out of the strike zone.
    Then Lorenzen strikes him out swinging with a low fastball in the zone.

    After that it felt like it was over.

  13. Anyone have a link to a video highlight of Hamilton’s “infield double”?

  14. I still don’t think of Cingrani as the ultimate solution at closer (actually, I don’t believe you need a single closer, but that’s a separate discussion). But he’s pitching better, by his own statement, by going back to what worked for him his rookie year – fastball, fastball, fastball. That works (usually) for a few outs because he moves it around so well, and his strikeout pitch is a high fastball that hitters can’t lay off.

    Of course he needs to change things up a bit once in a while, he says he’s using a splitter that Blake Wood taught him. He won’t throw a slider again, which is good news.

    He also implied that throwing sliders hurt his arm and said that when healthy, he’s been able to get major league hitters out. I believe that’s true.

    • Yeah, this is great. If Cingrani, Lorenzen, and Iggy can be counted on as dependable relievers for the next few years, that’s 3 less things for the Reds to worry about.

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