Jerry Crasnick of ESPN tweeted a new Reds player name that came up in trade talks – Dan Straily.
The reluctance to trade Straily could well be a negotiating posture. Starting pitching is scarce at the deadline. Taking advantage of that is smart.
If so, good for them. But there is only so much time left before the trade deadline so they don’t want to pose their way into inaction.
Dan Straily is having a solid year for the Reds. His ERA is 3.84, but he’s benefited an enormous amount from a low BABIP of .227 and a low HR/FB as well. That why the ERA-estimators for him are higher. His FIP is 4.55, his xFIP is 5.03 and his SIERA is 4.81.
The Reds shouldn’t give him away. Straily is cheap and not eligible for arbitration until 2018. That’s four more years of control.
On the other hand, he’s 27 and has limited upside. Because of the organizational depth, Straily is unlikely to be a starting pitcher for the Reds next year, maybe even all the rest of this season. It’s hard to see him contributing as more than a reliever over the duration of his time with the Reds. Maybe a swingman.
That’s not nothing. But it’s also not worth missing the opportunity to take advantage of a situation where an opposing team overvalues his ERA. If they get a good offer they should take it. As I wrote last month, Straily is an Epstein Flip candidate. Let’s see if the Reds front office can execute it.