2016 Reds / All-Star Game / Game Thread

Reds vs Cubs– July 6, 2016

See, I told you the pitching and the hitting and the baserunning were all fixed. We may now reasonably expect a 1.000 winning percentage for the remainder of the season.

Rubber game of a series of 3 between we (31-54) and they (52-31.)

EMBRYOS TO BE NAMED LATER

Congratulations to our pity All-Star, Adam Duvall, who wasn’t a pity All-Star for a nanosecond before people immediately began demanding his ouster. Poll:  At what point do you keep young players to develop them, and at what point do you load them into a giant slingshot situated on the Banks to exchange them for even younger prospects? What’s your personal SELL SELL SELL breakpoint?

What is the balance between having at least some veterans to ensure the bullpen rookies carry the Disney Princess backpack full of snacks, and always standing on our tiptoes in search of the next great Person Who Maybe Won’t Suck? Should we just heave off all prospects we have now to get the pick of the Little League World Series champions, so that we can use them for leverage to trade for embryos to be named later?

STARTING LINEUP

REDS CUBS
1. Zack Cozart (SS)
2. Billy Hamilton (CF)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (RF)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Brandon Phillips (2B)
7. Jose Peraza (LF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Anthony DeSclafani (P)
1. Ben Zobrist (2B)
2. Kris Bryant (RF)
3. Anthony Rizzo (1B)
4. Willson Contreras (LF)
5. Tommy La Stella (3B)
6. Jason Heyward (CF)
7. Addison Russell (SS)
8. Miguel Montero (C)
9. Adam Warren (P)

STARTING PITCHERS

ERA IP SO WHIP SHOULD HE BE TRADED?
Adam Warren 4.56 25.2 18 1.40 I mean his ERA is the envy of the entire Reds bullpen right now
Anthony DeSclafani 1.78 30.1 23 1.29 He is performing well and has been on the team for more than 5 seconds, so OBVIOUSLY

A THING FROM TWITTER

I do like the occasional throwback jersey, but when you’re not entirely sure what your team’s actual daily uniform looks like, the Special Occasion Fashion Show starts to spin out of control. Here, for example, is today’s offering, which looks like someone ran out of ugly stripy fabric and panicked and started stapling red felt from the Christmas tree skirt to cover the gap, not unlike what happens when I try to wrap a present.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

I don’t want to ever live in a world without West Side church festivals with basket booths. I of course put a ticket down on this Waffle House Welcome Package, which seems to come complete with much-needed bleach to pour over your booth and table so the area is safe for human habitation. Catholics think of everything.

A

26 thoughts on “Reds vs Cubs– July 6, 2016

  1. I think you meant 1.000 winning percentage, not .1000?

    Re: when to trade prospects, its a pretty basic calculation. If Net Present Surplus Value of acquired prospects exceeds NPSV of current players, you trade. You obviously need at least 1-2 seasons to forecast what the future value of the prospects would be (and that probably has a calculation built in based on expected value (i.e. 20% chance 3 WAR player, 40% chance 1.5 WAR player, etc). I’m not sure I buy the MLB’s assumed discount rate, the market rate may be largely different but you can determine that internally.

    It’s pretty simple to me but quantifying financial value is what I do professionally. . .

      • That’s why I try to concentrate on the truly important subjects, like Waffle House prize baskets.

    • The question is, what rate do you use to calculate Brandon Phillips’ terminal value?

  2. Happy for Duvall, but bummed for Cozart. He’s been the Reds best player so far this year. He ended the over the hill shortstop merry go round that the Reds had going around 2008-2011. He was a solid average regular on two playoff teams in 2012 and 2013. He was above average last year until he got hurt, and he’s been better than average this year. But he’s never really got the recognition he deserves and it seems like he’s always been looked at as a placeholder until the next Barry Larkin comes around. Would have been nice to see him make an all star game.

    But on the other hand, it is kind of appropriate that the Reds all star rep has an OBP in the .280’s. Says a lot about the state of the team right now.

    • I will take what he is doing and don’t give a hoot what his OBP is, not all players are defined quality wise by their OBP, this is where I think the stat folks go overboard.

    • And Cozart leads off the game with a HR!

      Reds up 1-0 in the bottom of the 1st.

  3. 1916 throwback — hmmm — well we were in last place in 1916 (tied with the Cardinals) for the NL worst record…
    Hopefully we can avoid having the NL worst record in 2016…

    • Or tie the Redbirds for the worst record in 2016 as well. I would get some pleasure, even if it’s a bit macabre, in seeing the Cardinals fall as far as we have.

  4. Is anyone following the game, did I see Barnhart just hit a 3 run homer. Not sure why you are taking Disco out with only 92 pitches?

  5. Since Tyler Holt’s 3-hit game on Jun 6th (a month ago), he’s batting .091/.130/.091, with over a 30% strikeout rate.

    That’s not good.

  6. Should have kept Jake Cave instead of Holt. No doubt. Bad move by the Reds. Look at his #’s thus far in AA/AAA this year. Showing more power than ever before. I believe he’s up to .286 with 6 HR and 30 RBI.

  7. 14 comments?
    And vs the Cubbies?
    Have we reached a new low?

    It was 2014…and I remember sitting on the edge of my seat watching the 2014 MLB Draft on MLB Network. I was very excited because the Reds had 2 first round draft picks picking at #’s 19 and 29. Which was the exact area that University Of Kentucky’s own unaminous SEC/NCAA/Golden Spikes POY AJ Reed was projected to be picked. With the Reds looking at the upcoming major rebulid I thought AJ would be the Obvious-Ideal-Perfect pick if they needed to move Votto. Now Votto is my guy, but I’m a Reds fan before I’m a Votto fan and I want what’s best for the team. And I’m still now sure if Votto will or should be around when the Reds are good enough to win again. He makes a whole lot of money. And the big money hasn’t even started yet. A lot of teams would take him on, his contract isn’t as big anymore as it seemed when he signed. A lot of others make more, and Votto’s production prob deserves even more in the market. My point is…the Reds just decided to BLOW yet another draft picking Nick Howard & Alex Blandino while AJ Reed is already hitting homers down in Houston. I can only imagine what AJ could have done to those Moon Deck seats.

    • Games during the day (especially 3 day games in a row) usually have lower comment totals.

    • AJ Reed has played 8 MLB games and has struck out 13 times in 29 Plate Appearances. His batting average is .120.

      He may be great…he may suck. To suggest that the Reds…or the 29 other teams… who passed on him in the 1st round were wrong is a bit pre-mature.

  8. Wow, a pitch behind the batter. The way the Reds have been going, I expected the pitch to hit Peraza and become a dead ball. But that was truly a wild pitch.

  9. Strange to feel this nervous about a possible series win against the Cubs in Wrigley.

    • strange to have a bullpen not give up runs when they have a lead after the fifth

    • Let’s give price some credit for bullpen mgmt….Iglesias and cingrani pitched well yesterday….and all around nice pitching from disco.lorenzen.cingrani today….5 pitchers in 2 games…all core elements of reds rebuild equals 2 W’s in the the left column.

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