Central Intelligence

Week 13: Cubs really scuffling….still up big in NLC

The Chicago Cubs were swept in a four game series to the New York Mets, and have now lost 10 of their last 14 games. Yet, somehow, someway they are still up eight games in the NL Central. That may say a little bit about the rest of the division, but it also says a lot about just how great the Cubs were early in the season. It certainly isn’t time to panic on the north side of Chicago, but this could be a wake up call for the Cubs to be aggressive at the trade deadline.

We are about to enter the final week of the first half. The All-Star roster will be announced on Tuesday night. The NL Central will certainly get a lot of invitees to the game, especially from the Cubs. Rizzo, Bryant, Zobrist, Russell and Fowler all lead the final update for their respective positions.

Chicago Cubs 51-30
St. Louis Cardinals 43-38 8.0 GB
Pittsburgh Pirates 41-41 10.5 GB
Milwaukee Brewers 35-46 16.0 GB
Cincinnati Reds 30-53 22.0 GB

Chicago Cubs

Arrieta

The Cubs pitching has really struggled of late. The Cubs starters rank dead last in the MLB in fWAR over the last 14 days at -0.4, as they have posted a 4.95 ERA/5.95 FIP. Jake Arrieta and John Lackey have each given up 9 ER over their last two starts. Jason Hammel got shelled for 10 ER on Friday against the Cubs, and Jon Lester got shelled for 8 ER on Sunday. Kyle Hendricks is the only starter who has been good of late.

Chris Coghlan was placed on the DL on Sunday because of a rib cage injury. The Cubs called up 3B Jeimer Candelario to take his spot. Candelario is the Cubs #7 prospect according to MLB Pipeline. He began the year at AA, but was promoted to AAA despite posting a .690 OPS in 224 PA. Candelario however strangely turned it around in AAA, hitting .333/.452/.600 with a 1.052 OPS in 93 PA.

Who’s Hot (last 7 days): Kris Bryant: .379/.441/.966, 5 HR, 1 SB, 257 wRC+, 0.9 fWAR
Who’s Cold (last 7 days): Jason Hammel: 2 GS, 10.0 IP, 5 HR, 4 BB, 7 K, 10.80 ERA, 10.26 FIP, -0.4 fWAR

This Week:

  • Mon (2:20), Tues (2:20), Wed (2:20) vs Reds
  • Thurs (8:05) vs Braves
  • Fri (7:05), Sat (7:15), Sun (1:35) at Pirates

Milwaukee Brewers

junior-guerra

The Brewers have lost 4 straight, and 6 of 7. They were swept over the weekend in St. Louis. They scored just a combined 1 run on Friday and Saturday, before losing 9-8 on Sunday.

The Brewers called up the once highly thought of Will Middlebrooks from AAA. He was the Red Sox #1 prospect and the #51 prospect in all of baseball following the 2011 season according to Baseball America. Middlebrooks posted a .835 OPS in 2012 with the Red Sox, but completely fell off the map after. He was traded to the Padres for Ryan Hanigan in December of 2014, and was eventually released by the Padres. Middlebrooks has hit .282/.308/.508 with 10 HR in 264 PA at AAA this year.

The Brewers signed 9 international prospects over the weekend during the new international free agent signing period. Two of the prospects (an OF and an IF) just barely cracked MLB Pipeline’s top 30.

Who’s Hot (last 7 days): Junior Guerra: 1 GS, 8.0 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K, 0.00 ERA, 2.16 FIP, 0.4 fWAR
Who’s Cold (last 7 days): Kirk Nieuwenhuis: .118/.118/.294, 2 for 17, 7 K, -7 wRC+, -0.2 fWAR

This Week:

  • Mon (11:05), Tues (7:05), Wed (4:05) at Nationals
  • Fri (8:10), Sat (2:10), Sun (2:10) vs Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates

mccutchen

The Pirates had a big sweep in Oakland against this A’s this past weekend. The Pirates have now won 7 of 9, and have made it back to .500. They are really hoping they can keep it rolling going into the All-Star break. They currently find themselves 3.5 games out of the second wild card spot.

Andrew McCutchen’s miserable 2016 continues. He was out of the lineup on Sunday because of a sore heel, even with the DH available. He is now down to .239/.313/.411 with  a 94 wRC+. The Pirates have luckily had big seasons from Polanco (132 wRC+), Marte (131 wRC+), Joyce (172 wRC+), and Rodriguez (125 wRC+) to fill up some of the slack in the OF. You have to feel like the Pirates will have to have McCutchen get back to himself to make another run at the postseason.

Gerrit Cole threw a simulated game on Friday, and reportedly everything went well. The Pirates are hoping they can get Cole back into the rotation on after the All-Star break.

Who’s Hot (last 7 days): Jameson Taillon: 1 GS, 6.0 IP, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K, 1.50 ERA, 1.16 FIP, 0.3 fWAR
Who’s Cold (last 7 days): Andrew McCutchen: .200/.231/.280, 5 for 25, 5 K, 24 wRC+, -0.2 fWAR

This Week

  • Monday (2:15), Tues (8:09), Wed (8:15), Thurs (1:45) at Cardinals
  • Fri (7:05), Sat (7:15), Sun (1:35) vs Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals lost 3 of 4 to the Royals in a split series between KC and St. Louis to begin the week. They did however take care of business over the weekend with a sweep of the Brewers. The Cardinals have cut the Cubs lead to 8.0 games, and are 1.0 game out of the second wild card spot. This will be a big week for the Cardinals leading up to the All-Star break.

Trevor Rosenthal was removed as the Cardinals closer, and was replaced by Seung-Hawn Oh. Rosenthal has a 5.00 ERA/4.27 FIP in 27.0 IP this year, while Oh has been very impressive with a 1.71 ERA/1.69 FIP in 42.o IP.

Who’s Hot (last 7 days): Matt Carpenter: .333/.467/.833, 3 HR, 6 R, 236 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR
Who’s Cold (last 7 days): Matt Adams: .125/.167/.125, 2 for 16, 6 K, -25 wRC+, -0.3 fWAR

This Week:

  • Mon (2:15), Tues (8:09), Wed (8:15), Thurs (1:45) vs Pirates
  • Fri (8:15), Sat (2:15), Sun (2:15) vs Brewers

 Nick’s Power Rankings

  1. Chicago Cubs

  2. St. Louis Cardinals

  3. Pittsburgh Pirates

  4. Milwaukee Brewers

  5. Cincinnati Reds

(all teams stayed the same)


Players of the Week

Pitcher: Junior Guerra, Brewers: 8.0 IP, 0 ER 2 H, 7 K, 2.16 FIP, 0.4 fWAR

Batter: Kris Bryant, Cubs: .379/.441/.966, 5 HR, 1 SB, 257 wRC+, 0.9 fWAR

 

All statistics only include games played through 7/2/16, and used courtesy of Fangraphs, ESPN Stats and Info, and Baseball-Reference (including Baseball-Reference Play Index).

4 thoughts on “Week 13: Cubs really scuffling….still up big in NLC

  1. I think the Cubs could be in trouble! I’m sure Epstein will work on their pen before the deadline but Arrieta has been getting hit and I never thought Lester’s stuff was overwhelming. He’s more of a regular season bulldog type then someone that would scare me in the playoffs. Giants/Nats could easily get the drop on them imo!
    The problem with the Nats is Dusty is already screwing them up? Trea Turner should be playing and getting big league experience so he’d be comfortable for October. They could move Murphy or Espinosa to 1B > old man Zimmerman and problem solved. No matter what your feelings are about Dusty they have to trump how we feel about Cubs fans!!

Comments are closed.