Arrieta

The Cincinnati Reds (29-47) continue their seven game homestand as they begin a three game series against the Chicago Cubs (48-26) tonight at 7:10. The Reds lost the first three games of the homestand against the Padres, but were able to get a 3-0 win yesterday in the series finale.

The Cubs still hold a sizeable lead in the NL Central. They lead the second place Cardinals by 9.0 games. The Cubs have however lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Cubs no longer have the most wins in the MLB, as both the Rangers and Giants passed them yesterday with 49 wins.

The Reds are 1-6 this season against the Cubs. The Reds are just 7-19 against the Cubs since the start of 2015.

Starting Pitchers

StrailyArrieta

Dan Straily has struggled over his last two starts (10.1 IP, 10 H, 10 ER, 5 BB, 8 K). He will have a tough test tonight against one of the best offense’s in baseball. The Cubs hit Straily pretty hard too in his two appearances (1 start) against them: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 5 K, 6.43 ERA.

You know about Jake Arrieta. He no-hit the Reds earlier this year, and is the reining NL Cy Young winner. If you are looking for positives on Arrieta, he hasn’t pitched deep in his starts lately, and he is walking a lot of batters this year. He has found a way to pitch around the walks (mostly because he never, ever gives up a home run).

Reds batters are 0 for 27 against Jake Arrieta this season. They do have 4 walks though!!!

Starting Lineups

Cubs Reds
1. Ben Zobrist (2B)
2. Jason Heyward (CF)
3. Kris Bryant (3B)
4. Anthony Rizzo (1B)
5. Willson Contreras (LF)
6. Miguel Montero (C)
7. Addison Russell (SS)
8. Chris Coghlan (RF)
9. Jake Arrieta (P)
1. Zack Cozart (SS)
2. Billy Hamilton (CF)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Jay Bruce (RF)
5. Adam Duvall (LF)
6. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
7. Jose Peraza (2B)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Dan Straily (P)

Jose Peraza gets the start in second base over Brandon Phillips. This is probably just an off day for Phillips, but I would certainly like to Peraza play at 2B regularly. Peraza has been playing a little bit of everywhere lately. He has played in LF, CF, 2B, SS, and DH in his 13 games with the Reds.

It has been the Joey and Jay show for the Reds so far in June. Joey Votto is hitting .316/.464/.461 with a 153 wRC+ in June, while Jay Bruce is hitting .293/.337/.641 with a 151 wRC+. Bruce has 7 home runs in June. Bruce is also 5th in all of baseball this season with a .581 SLG.

Willson Contreras is the Cubs #2 prospect who was called up two weeks ago. All he has done is hit .348/.464/.783 with 3 HR in his first 28 PA. Contreras is a catcher, but has been hitting so well that Joe Maddon has been playing him in LF and 1B some.

Anthony Rizzo has been on fire for the Cubs in June. Rizzo is hitting .397/.471/.740 with 6 HR and 219 wRC+. Kris Bryant also has 7 HR for the Cubs this month.

Homer tries it again

Bailey_feature0924

For the second time this season, Homer Bailey will begin a rehab assignment. Bailey will be starting for the Louisville Bats against Buffalo tonight at 7:05. C. Trent Rosecrans broke down what is going on with Bailey. You can listen live to Bailey’s rehab start here.

Homer Bailey’s second rehab stint from Tommy John surgery will begin Monday at Triple-A Louisville with a two-inning appearance.

Bailey made two starts in April before elbow pain caused him to stop his rehab from his surgery performed last May. He will make a minimum of five starts before he could return to the Reds, manager Bryan Price said on Thursday.

If he made five starts, that would have him in line to start in the last week or so of July.

Price said he expects Bailey to make the majority — if not all — of his starts at the Triple-A level.

Bailey twice threw in Arizona over the last week, first two simulated innings of 15 pitches each and then two simulated innings of 20 pitches each.

Jumbo is back!

Jumbo Diaz during the game on May 6, 2016 at Victory Field in Indianapolis, Indiana between the Indianapolis Indians and the Louisville Bats. The Bats won 6-1. Dave Wegiel/MiLB.com

Jumbo Diaz during the game on May 6, 2016 at Victory Field in Indianapolis, Indiana between the Indianapolis Indians and the Louisville Bats. The Bats won 6-1. Dave Wegiel/MiLB.com

The Reds recalled our old pal Jumbo Diaz from AAA today. J.C. Ramirez was claimed off waivers from the Angels yesterday, which made room. Jumbo has literally been two different pitchers this year. He has been absolutely terrible in the majors, and has been absolutely dominant in the minors. This has been the case for Jumbo each of the last four years with the Reds. Jumbo has an ERA of 1.66, 1.35, 1.13, and 0.75 at AAA the last four seasons. In the majors, he has an ERA of 3.38, 4.18, and 6.30.

2016 K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA FIP
MLB 5.40 6.30 4.50 6.30 10.53
AAA 2.30 15.2 10 0.75 1.70

Conclusion

It sure would be nice to see the Reds beat around Jake Arrieta tonight. I don’t know if I would recommend putting money on that, but it would be nice nonetheless. Go Reds!

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

Join the conversation! 52 Comments

  1. I’d bet that Reds fans would like to see Arrieta kicked around but not that it was likely to be done by Reds 🙂

  2. Ah the Stupid Cubs …

  3. Yeah this game will likely be a yawner offensively for the Reds tonight.

  4. As much as I’d love to see him succeed…

    Over under on pitches thrown by Diaz before giving up a home run is 3.5. Takers?

  5. I thought the move to recall Jumbo was just more of the uninspiring leadership that characterizes the Reds organization.

    There seemed to be semi official (perhaps off the record official?) whisperings that they were ready to bring up Wandy Peralta, the young (25YO) lefty reliever. Instead we get another course of Jumbalaya.

    I realize that since Ramirez got claimed instead of clearing waivers, in a sense their hand was called or forced. However if they were setting the stage to bring someone up in the coming days or weeks, why not go on and follow through?

  6. You have to wonder if there are any worthy hitters in AAA, because our bullpen trash seems to dominate every time they are down there

  7. Now that’s what I call confidence, spotting Arrieta a 2 run lead

  8. Pretty solid AB, ending in a walk.

  9. DUUUUUUUUUUUVALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

  10. Ringing double off the wall as Duvall plates 2!!!

  11. “Jumbo has literally been two different pitchers this year”

    Wow. Thats throwing BP like the bullpen

  12. Get em on, get em over, get em in

  13. That didnt last long

  14. Straily has just been lit up…turned a close game into a 7-3 game

  15. Kris Bryant…

    Wow.

  16. He doesn’t have anything tonight.He doesn’t have the velocity to get away with any mistakes and he has made a bunch of them tonight.

  17. I see Bailey only pitched one inning, and gave up two home runs. I hope the one inning wasn’t because of something being wrong.

    • I think he was slated for 2IP tonight and tossed 25 pitches in the first. So it was probably just a pitch count issue

  18. The pain of watching a guy go from who he isn’t to who he is.

    • Yeah. The Epstein Flip candidate is looking more like an Epstein Flop.

  19. The Reds telethon and lack of game coverage has driven me to the Cubs broadcast. It’s not near as bad ad I expected

  20. Arrieta must be really wild because we don’t walk 5 times in a series let alone in 4+ innings.

  21. It’s nice to see Jumbo back. I hope his dominance at L’ville will work to stabilize the Reds bullpen.

  22. Man wasting a bad Arrieta outing is criminal.

  23. Kind of like our year has been so far but it will get better.

  24. Votto looking like JoeyMVP and Adam Duvall just keeps slugging. Starting to believe Duvall is a unique player who can simply slug his way into the lineup despite rarely taking a walk.

  25. The Reds sure are being pesky tonight

  26. Duvall hits everything hard.He is taking advantage of an opportunity that as far I know he has never had.Just a great example of why we need to give others more playing time.Peraza and Suarez are players learning at the big league level and hopefully Winker and others are on the way.

  27. 2 out Homerdorf. The guy just csnt get out of an inning.

  28. the guy is 4 for 4 and you don’t throw all of your pitches high and tight? why would they put anything in the strike zone?

  29. I am just guessing of course but do you think we may ought not give Bryant anything to hit.

  30. Apparently, Price thought Ohlendorf could toss up zeros for 2 innings when the rest of us knew better. I know it’s a lousy year but this was a winnable game.

    • Exactly – just fuel on the fire why Price needs to be shown the door. Another shining example of his head -scratching managerial skills on display.

    • We’re TRYING to lose games this year. We WANT a top draft pick next year.

      The mindset of Reds fans should be-we could lose every game for the rest of the year, and if it gets us a Correa or a Bryant, it was all worth it.

      • It wouldn’t necessarily be worth it.

        Could the Reds….or anyone….draft a better player than Mike Trout? The last time I checked the Angels had about 3 more wins than the Reds. How many players have ever played as well as Votto did the second half of last year? Very few…and the Reds had one of their worst stretches in team history. One guy helps….but, you need much more than that.

        • yep, Bryant is just the biggest headliner, The Cubs had a whole lot of early picks for a whole lot of years. Bryce Harper is supposedly more of an impact player than Bryant; and, what good has it done the Nats to date?

  31. Price is what he is and that is in way over his head.I hope after the break we only see guys auditioning for future jobs.Ohlendorf’s audition should then be over.

  32. Bullpen has been awfull all season, but Price’s skills (or lack of) hasn’t help either.

  33. Vote with another blast… if the bullpen didn’t implode, that would have been a tie ballgame.

  34. Typical Price! The Reds actually fight back and cut it from 8-3 to 8-7 going into the 8th. He should order a pitch around on Bryant and then have Cingrani ready for Rizzo. I know that’s his closer but that’s on the Reds too? They should’ve had another lefty here all along? Its not like Ohlendorf, Cothem, Ramirez, Groover, etc etc were all doing so well that they couldn’t give a lefty from the minors a shot? I’ll never give this team another dime of my money til they start using their heads? Ohlendorf has no future? Simon has no future? BP has no future….let along batting 3rd all year? Its ridiculous and an insult to Reds fans.

    • Perhaps you missed the memo that this is a rebuilding year and determining who can be a long term pitching solution is more important than how many games they win. Seeing if someone can get Bryant out in that situation is far more important than beating a team that has a 578 game lead in the divison.

      • Have you not been able to determine by now that our pen is historically awful? Did I lie about Simon, Ohlendorf, Groover, etc etc? They have no future so play guys that might actually learn something at the big league level. No reason whatsoever to not have a 2nd lefty? A guy like Sampson has good stuff and they barely gave him a chance w/the Reds this year? They bat BP 3rd all year for no reason whatsoever? What does that help their long term plan? They don’t have one? Personally I don’t think filling GABP w/Cubs fans so we can be the Washington Generals to their Globetrotters is a good thing? Why not try to beat them? Florida just did?

        • I live in Chicago,,,,there is 1 player left on the roster from Epstein’s intro press conference…one. Most of the guys that you mentioned will be gone soon enough…..they have to see if they’re actually pitching bad or if they’re bad pitchers.

          The long term plan is filled with guys who aren’t part of the organization right now. The 2018 roster will likely be comprised of guys who are not part of the organization right now. You’re working from the premise that a re-build is some linear thing….it’s not.

          I’m sure that the Reds would’ve preferred to win tonight….I’m also sure they’re glad they let guys pitch to Bryant to better see what they actually have. Yes, Miami just swept the Cubs….no one will remeber or care a month from now.

        • Chuck, I agree with you in theory; but, I think there was very little for the Reds to learn about their future by allowing Straily and Olendorf to pitch to Bryant.

          Also, I’m not sure what you mean by “most” when you say “most” of the guys who will be on the Reds in 2018 are not currently in the Reds org. Roughly half the roster is pitchers; and, I think it is conceivable if not outright probable that virtually all the pitchers on the Reds 2018 staff are currently in the Reds org. Now when it comes to position guys, you may well be correct in your assertion.

  35. 2 outs in the bottom of the ninth and no one on… and Maddon makes a pitching change? What am I missing here?

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About Nick Kirby

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

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