Titanic Struggle Recap

Reds Knock Out Nationals, Can’t be Beat

A 4-game winning streak, six wins out of eight, for these Reds. Impossible?

“Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they’ve been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It’s an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It’s a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.” – Muhammed Ali

The Reds go for a sweep of Dusty Baker’s first-place team tomorrow afternoon.

Cincinnati 6  Washington 3  |  FanGraphs  | Greatest of All Time

Hands Can’t Hit What Hands Can’t See Dan Straily turned in one of his best starts of the year, limiting the Nationals to two hits and two walks. Straily struck out three. The sole blemish on his day was a wandering change-up that Anthony Rendon deposited over the left-field fence. It was Straily’s sixth so-called “quality start” in his last eight appearances.

Float Like a Butterfly The game started with a tremendous defensive play by Billy Hamilton racing to right center and leaping at the fence to steal an extra-base hit from Nationals lead-off hitter Ben Revere. Hamilton earned a full-arm extension tip of the cap from Straily. Joey Votto added a couple nice defensive plays in the second inning fielding grounders to his right. Tucker Barnhart threw out Ben Revere and Bryce Harper attempting to steal.

Sting Like a Bee Jay Bruce hit his 12th home run of the year, a solo shot to left-center. Joey Votto knocked in the next two runs with a blast to deep right-center in the sixth. It was Votto’s fourth home run in the past nine games, giving the Reds a 3-2 lead. In the bottom of the eighth, before the deluge, Votto walked and Bruce singled him to third. After play resumed, Adam Duvall jacked Shawn Kelley’s fourth pitch way far into the left field deck for a three-run homer. Duvall’s 16th broke a 3-3 tie.

Too Ugly to Be World Champion Horrific base-running in the seventh inning cost the Reds two outs. Tucker Barnhart grounded to shortstop and when Danny Espinosa threw the ball past first baseman, Barnhart decided he could get to second base. He was thrown out by the Nationals catcher by 40 feet (no exaggeration). After Kyle Waldrop singled into right field for his first major league hit, he was picked off first base, Little League style. Reliever Ross Ohlendorf gave up a game-tying home run in the top of the eighth.

Done Handcuffed Lightning Tony Cingrani pitched the ninth and retired the heart of the Nationals line-up in order. Man, if he could always throw strikes.

45 thoughts on “Reds Knock Out Nationals, Can’t be Beat

  1. Was thinking this is one time that “quality start” stat means a little … Straily had the lead stolen from him and we ended up winning. Not a bad effort on his part.

    And what’s with the rumor about a JB trade soon? No source cited.

    Reds win and beat the Harpers … that’s a +10 in my book.

      • He’s a good player – I realize that. It’s just the overt arrogance.

        But beating them is fun.

        • I still think Harper is the most misunderstood person in baseball. I have yet to see him do a single thing I’d characterize as “arrogant.”

          But we’ve been talking about this for awhile, me and you, so I know where you stand. 😉 Haha!

          • I can see that. And he certainly doesn’t rise to the Puig standard of arrogance I’ve seen.

  2. Jay Bruce should NOT be traded. He punished one of the best power right handed pitchers in baseball and used the ENTIRE field to do so. He is maturing as a hitter still! Joey Votto is competing his tail off. Billy Hamilton is showing signs of improvement and his play to start the game was incredible. Lets give Adam Duvall and Eugenio Suarez 600 at bats this year. Both have earned that. I like how BP is competing but its time to trade him. He wont be a part of the next great Reds team. Lets get Jose Peraza in the leadoff spot and some healthy pitchers and see this team start to improve. Lets also give Brian Price some credit for holding things together when he has placed in an impossible spot with 5-6 players on his roster who aren’t professional baseball players.

    • They’ve tried trading Phillips. Multiple times actually. They can’t just push a button and he’s magically gone

      • Yes they can. Its mid 2016 and the Reds are in last place. BP has a year and half left on his contract and the Reds aren’t paying him another dollar except for what is contractually obligated. He thought he could extract more last winter….and well….he lost miserably. He can end his career with 2 last place finishes or he can agree to be traded. If he doesn’t, he’s a great utility player on a last place team and its time to show him the bench behind Peraza…he might just change his tune.

  3. +10 on the insert of “Before the Deluge “. As a long time Jackson Browne fan you gave me a smile. It seems whenever Ohlendorf seems about out of an inning (2 outs) he gives up a homer. Oh well a win is a win.

    • Yeah, I have a weak spot for Jackson Browne. Played his music a lot in college and went to a concert of his in Ann Arbor in grad school in the early 80s. Deluge is one of my favorites from his lesser known stuff.

      • Seeing him June 29th in Niagara Falls. The Mrs. Has seen him over 150 times. Lol

      • Before the Deluge, For a Dancer, Fountain of Sorrow: three of my favorites.

        • Sky Blue and Black, The Next Voice You Hear, For Everyman for me.
          See him every time he comes to Atlanta.

  4. Another series win with Straily coming through big time. The Williams/Jocketty front office deserves some credit in getting him. Finally the Reds have a couple right-handed power hitters in Duvall and Suarez. If the Reds don’t a haul for Bruce, they should extend him.

  5. Duvall is killing everything over the plate. Starting pitching is letting hitters get themselves out. Votto is beginning to earn some of that paycheck. Bruce seems to be evening out his streaky play. Suarez is hot. And Mancuso gets to write a great review of a winning effort. Happy days.

  6. I’ve been thinking about this a lot since the post the other day (by Jason?). If it were up to me I’d trade Duvall while he’s hot and extend Bruce, hopefully with a bit of a discount. Duvall is getting great results but I doubt it’s sustainable and think there must be a market for him soon. A couple of hitting prospects please. I like the offense right now, but would like it even more with Peraza instead of Phillips. If this team gets some healthy, solid pitching they are capable of competing. Maybe not Cubs dominating, but definitely competing. It’s been a fun week. Go Reds!

    • So you don’t think Duvall’s success is sustainable…. based in part on information found on a blog…but you think they’ll be a market for him? Do you think MLB teams…who spend millions per year on information/evaluation have less information than we have?

      • I think you captured the essence of the contradictory thinking being used to fuel the idea of trading AD. Common sense alone should tell people how contradictory it is. It amazes me how much people try to create problems to fit imaginary solutions they think they’ve been the first to find, when there’s no problem. Worry about real problems, not projections.

        Common sense also sez we should just relax and enjoy the show Adam’s putting on. It’s really an incredible run for any rookie, and one of the highlights in all of baseball right now. And to think he just discovered his diabetes last year and got on the correct dose of insulin……truly amazing guy having a fabulous run. My kudos.

        • I’m not suggesting he doesn’t have value. He obviously does and I’m loving it as long as it lasts. The difference is that the Reds will not be in a playoff chase this year and about 15 teams will. So he MAY be more valuable to other teams than he is to the Reds. And I expect in the long run that Bruce’s success is more likely to be sustainable than Duvall’s so in the long run I’d rather keep Bruce. But if the Reds keep Duvall (even if they trade Bruce) I will be rooting for him and enjoying every home run. When the league adjusts to him, I’ll be hoping he adjusts in response. And regardless of what the Reds choose to do with Duvall and Bruce I’ll gladly agree that their current success is unequivocally I positive for the Reds and for Reds fans. Go Reds!

        • Teams give up more for players at the deadline than they should every single year. No one wants Duvall as a future cornerstone piece. Someone might want him as a rent-a-bat.

        • Not a knock on Duvall, as I’ve been impressed with him. But as long as we’re invoking common sense, it would tell you that a K% at nearly 30% and a BB% under 3.5 is not sustainable for success.

    • Duvall will cool down and time will reveal the level he settles at. What I particularly like about his run is that every day he succeeds reminds us that the games define the stats and not vice versa.

      Anecdotally speaking, Duvall hit 30 or more HRs in both 2014 and 2015, albeit most them at AAA. If he hits 25 for the Reds this year while the maintaining a roughly .300 OBP and the level of defense he has played so far, who do the Reds have in the pipeline to replace that sort of production by 2018 or 2019? That’s something to consider when thinking about trading him. I wouldn’t be looking to move him until I had a better direct replacement unless so, org was prepared to blatantly over pay for him.

    • Ok will Duvall slow down …. of course… but with what he has done so far and how cheap he is for the team for the next few years Keep this guy at least to be a power bat off the bench if nothing else. I am starting to feel he could be a starter though.

      Even if he drops down to 2 homers a week and continues to have good defense and can keep his on base over .300 I’m all for keeping him out there as long as he keeps up the good work

      • If he hits 2 home runs a week for the rest of the year he will end up with over 50 HR. Pretty unlikely pace for just about anyone.

  7. Ride Duvall for what it’s worth. No one will trade anything of value for him. He’s Frazier 2.0.

  8. Beautiful job combining “The Greatest” with our boys on a day of bittersweet reflection. Duvall looks like George Foster right now.

  9. Disco had a so-so night as far as results in his AAA rehab start Saturday. He got through 6 innings on 72 pitches (50 strikes) allowing 4 runs (all earned) on 8 hits. 0BB, 2K’s and 2HR(which accounted for 3 of the runs). I think those numbers probably at least nudge close to the minimums in pitches and innings Price said he wanted to see to be comfortable with Disco’s next start being with the Reds.

    For the record, the Bats won the game 5-4 on the strength of a Scott Schebler solo shot in the 8th.

    • Assuming this start was good enough for him to start Thurs, who gets demoted off the rotation. It appears to me that everyone will be bumped back a day and Simon goes to bullpen. The only reason Simon starts again is because Disco can’t pitch Wed. Week ago, I would probably have wanted Simon cut but he has shown enough to be worth a shot in the bullpen. I guess someone like Morris or Smith gets sent down or maybe Waldrop. I still would like to see Waldrop get a chance though.

      • Moscot or Simon most likely. Might depend on how Moscot looks today. Was the Colorado fiasco an anomaly due to it being at altitude or is that what we can expect from him?

        • Was said last night by somebody on the radio (beat reporter segment??) that it would behoove Moscot to have a strong game today lest he find himself in the pen or the AAA rotation.

          This said, I think over the longer haul Simon will end up back in the pen. As has been ;pointed out by several here and else where that would seem to be in the mutual best interest of all since his best chance of hanging around MLB for several more seasons would seem to be back in the pen.

  10. Duvall walked today and he should’ve walked late in the game Thursday night except the Reds were up a ton and the ump just wanted to get out of there and called him out on a obviously low 3-2 pitch! Last night on the atbat when he singled he was 0-2 in the count and worked the count to 3-2 before rifling a hit to left! Welsh/Brantley were talking on Friday night about how short his swing is and how little movement there is which is the same thing I said earlier this week. Just watch the Toddfather for example and you see a much longer swing with many more moving parts! Of course if you were an AL fan and you just started watching Jay Bruce then you wouldn’t think there was any way possible that he could hit .180 for 2 months at a time but of course we’ve seen it more than a few times!

  11. Nice touch with the great Ali quotes as headings. He was the most original extemporaneous speaker I have ever heard, except maybe for Pete Rose. His interviews became doorways to the universe sometimes.

    Well played.

  12. Outside of the poor baserunning it was a well played game.Even if they has lost the Reds are showing up to play right now and to me that is most important.At times they appear to not do that but not lately.Soon we can sprinkle in Peraza,Winker and others into the line up and see what we have for the future.Once healthy this team will play at 500 or better and I look for a bigger jump next year if we can fix our offense.

  13. Hunter Pence tore his hammy so he’s out at least two months and probably longer. So Giants will need a RF. Wonder if the phone will ring asking about JB?

  14. stats and sample sizes are almost useless with rookies. Our team is proving that. The pitchers that are having success have no record of this type of success and it isn’t like our offense was carrying them when they were half way decent. Same goes with Duvall… whatever stats were being used obviously could not have predicted what he is doing nor will they predict what he will do. Some kids get to the majors and it all clicks and others just fall apart. Kind of like most of us when we went to college right? Things either clicked or they didn’t.

    • Duvall really didn’t get a hard look in SF; he was up and down between AAA and the Giants. Friend of man, big Giants fan, felt he could blossom in Cincy. Good job by the Reds. They now have their left fielder and another quality arm in the minors for Leake, who’s in STL. Score.

    • Everyone knew he was going to hit homers. All the projection systems had him at like 29-30, which is crazy given his lack of track record. But the defense and other XBHs have been the big surprise.

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