Two in row! The Reds (12-17) have won two games in a row for only the fourth time this season and for the first time since April 20 with back-to-back wins against the Rockies. With the second win last night, the Reds officially climbed out of the cellar and into second-to-last in the NL Central. Here’s to taking another step towards the ground floor tonight.

Starting Pitchers
The following stats are from 2016:

Screen Shot 2016-05-06 at 2.47.29 PM.png

Two young, relatively untested pitchers start tonight, with Tim Adleman making his second big league appearance for the Reds and Tyler Cravy making his first start of the year for the Brewers. In his debut, Tim Adleman did well to allow just two earned runs in 6.0 innings pitched, but ended up with a no decision. In three AAA starts before being called up, Adleman earned two wins over 17.0 innings, allowing eight earned runs.

Last season, Cravy made 14 appearances, including seven starts for the Brewers, bouncing between AAA and the major leagues. During his time with the big league club, Cravy did not pitch particularly well, recording a 4.70 FIP and walking 22 in 42.2 innings. Cravy made three appearances against the Reds as well, pitching 4.0 innings and allowing four runs on eight hits.

Starting Lineups

Brewers Reds
1. Jonathan Villar (SS)
2. Alex Presley (RF)
3. Ryan Braun (LF)
4. Chris Carter (1B)
5. Kirk Nieuwenhuis (CF)
6. Aaron Hill (2B)
7. Colin Walsh (3B)
8. Martin Maldonado (C)
9. Tyler Cravy (P)
1. Zack Cozart (SS)
2. Billy Hamilton (CF)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Brandon Phillips (2B)
5. Jay Bruce (RF)
6. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
7. Adam Duvall (LF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Tim Adleman (P)

Mesoraco Injury

For the second season in a row, Devin Mesoraco will be shut down due to surgery and a lengthy rehabilitation process. Mesoraco’s specific injury–a torn labrum–is fairly common for pitchers, but less so for position players. The rehab following surgery usually lasts 4-6 months, so it’s unlikely Mesoraco will return for the 2016 season.

Dumpster Fire
Fox Sports’ Brett Smiley broke down the statistics behind the Reds’ bullpen’s miserable streak earlier this afternoon, introducing his argument with one particularly cringe-worthy quote.

“As of Thursday’s 9-5 win over the Milwaukee Brewers that made the Reds 12-17, the ‘pen has not gone a single game since April 10 (when they improved to 5-1) without allowing at least one run,” Smiley wrote, breaking the hearts of Reds fans everywhere.

On the bright side, the success of the bullpen doesn’t really matter this season. That doesn’t make 7.68 ERA any prettier to watch however.

Bailey’s Road Back

I’d Do It

Concluding Thoughts
Losing Mesoraco (likely) for the year is not so much a blow to this Reds’ team, but a blow to Mesoraco’s future career. We all remember what happened to Joe Mauer once he became injury-prone, but Mesoraco hasn’t even had the chance to hit his peak like Mauer did. Hopefully, the Reds can continue playing well in his absence, and Mesoraco will make a full recovery by 2017.

Go Reds!

Join the conversation! 37 Comments

  1. Sad for Devin Mesoraco. Missing two full seasons due to unrelated injuries. Just a reminder the numbers he put up in 2014:

    440 plate appearances, he hit 273/.359/.534, wRC+ 146 (almost MVP level), 25 HR, 4.5 fWAR – huge loss for the Reds.

    • Meso is just a sad situation, for the player even more than for the team. Even with a “full recovery”, he will never get the two years back and will be something of a long shot ever recover to the the production levels he seemed to be reaching by the end of the 2014 season.

  2. I’m not sure if the Reds could put together a package that makes sense for Mike Trout. Stephenson and Reed might be a nice starting point, but it’s not even a 1/3 of the way there, I’d say. Especially since they are pitchers. Odds are 1 of those 2 guys will either miss significant time or be completely ineffective at the major league level.

    It might need to look like Stephenson, Reed, Garrett, Winker and Blandino. Even at that point, it’s unlikely their combined career WAR will equal the next 5 years of Mike Trout.

  3. Tucker Barnhart is a great backup to have. As for trading for Trout ,the Reds would be stupid to tie up that much money in 2,players. You win with a team full of good players. Not 2 superstars and average players. Don’t get me wrong I love trout and he is in the top 2 players but his greatness is not making the Angels contenders. I like the way the Reds are headed and I think they have a lot of talent in the minors and in the bigs. This team would have a above 500 record if it wasn’t for the bullpen. I’m enjoying watching them win or lose. And personally the streak keeps you watching even if it’s a blowout.

    • The last time the Reds gave up big to get a superstar back in 2000…

    • A team full of average players and two super stars would get you into the playoffs. 14 WAR for your two superstars, 12 WAR for your other 6 postion players, 10 WAR from your starters 5 WAR from your relievers would put you at 41 WAR and this doesn’t account for your bench. 41 WAR translates to 93-94 wins which could get easily get you a wild card spot in most years.

      • With Trout expected to make 34 million in 2018 and Votto and Homers contract , well that doesn’t leave much left over. Plus you just traded every blue chip you ever drafted or traded for.

        • I think it was fairly obvious that I was responding to your quote, “You win with a team full of good players. Not 2 superstars and average players.” As for the payroll for such a team, it would defnitely be feasable if your farm system is capable of consistently churning out average players.

  4. Ben Zobrist with 4 HRs and 14 RBIs this week so far! I can’t help thinking he might have put those Reds teams of 3-4 years ago over the hump and we kept hearing his name but it never happened? He might be a back to back world champion on 2 diff teams?

  5. Question for the folks who know statistics better than me. Obviously the Reds have the worst bullpen in baseball. If it ranked somewhere in the middle–an average bullpen–what could we be reasonably looking at other than 12-17? Thanks in advance!

  6. Does anyone else hate Ryan Braun as much as I do?

    It’s one thing to get caught on PEDs. It’s another thing to get caught on PEDs then lie about it. It’s another another thing to get caught taking PEDs, lie about it, and drag someone else’s career and life through the mud to cover yourself. But it’s another another ANOTHER thing to get caught taking PEDs, lie about it, drag someone else’s career and life through the mud to cover yourself, and then get caught taking PEDs AGAIN!

    If it was up to me he would’ve been banned for that stunt

  7. Well this makes sense… might as well add Votto to the injury list with the rest of the team.

    • And I was just about to post that since Votto’s 0-19 streak snapped, he’s hitting .317/.471/.561 in 14 games counting his 1-1 with a homer today.

  8. Good start by Adleman.

  9. Duvall is on fire! I’m warming to the local boy down here in Louisville.

  10. Votto is warming up fast….Duvall and BP! Cozart is still hitting! Bruce isn’t exactly hot but isn’t going Ofer-weeks either! Milw is so bad they can cure some ills but losing that Cueto game still stings a bit!

  11. Can we play the Brewers every week?

  12. Adelman makes it though 5. 101 pitches. More important, only 1 ER allowed.
    Bullpen to cover 4 innings…yikes!!! Only a 4 run lead.

  13. 1-2-3 for Cotham. Need insurance.

  14. For all that is said about the size, or lack there of, at GABP, these home runs that the Reds are hitting are not cheapies … maybe Cozart’s fly ball down the line a few days ago being the exception. But the Reds are hitting some rockets.

  15. Cotham delivers another donut in the 7th.

  16. Curious how others are thinking………I want to win this game, but some perversion inside of me wants the streak to continue…….

  17. 1 inning to go. Cingrani wiggles out of the jam

    • Of course, all those baserunners did allow the Brewers to get back to the top of the order. Gotta keep things interesting.

  18. Throw strikes, Cingrani.

    • picked off… i can’t see it but how do you get picked off down 4 runs?

      • Exactly what I was thinking, was he actually going because they made it seem like it was a rundown

  19. Goodbye, bullpen streak !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  20. Is that Cingrani’s first MLB save?

  21. The streak is over!

  22. The streak lives!!! ( 3 game winning streak)

  23. I’m still trying to figure out how the umpire hurt himself. At first, I thought the baserunner spiked him, but on replay, I don’t think he made contact with the ump.

  24. Just very happy that the infamous streak is over — and a good streak is on! Hoping that it can continue!!!

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2016 Reds, Game Thread

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