2016 Reds

Stephenson’s Debut: Mostly Calm in the Midst of a Storm

In the hours up until the first pitch of Thursday’s afternoon contest, it wasn’t looking like it would be a comfortable debut for Robert Stephenson. Temperatures in the mid-40s felt colder with the blustery wind gusts and drizzling rain. A brave group of 10,784 came to the ballpark to greet Stephenson to the majors.

Yet, the Reds’ top pitching prospect turned in a solid, if not shining, debut. It wasn’t exactly a Matt Harvey-esque first outing, but the Reds gave Stephenson a simple game plan and he followed it well enough to keep his team in the game and get a win in his first start.

BobSteve debut

 

 

That plan—fastballs and changeups, stay low and on the corners—was executed rather well by the 23 year-old. His four-seamer sported some nasty tailing action, darting away from the many lefty hitters in the Philadelphia lineup, and hovered around 92-94 MPH for the afternoon. His changeup—which sports the sort of movement you’d see from a circle change or screwball—served as an adequate compliment early on, as Stephenson avoided using his slow, diving curveball until the last pitch of the second inning.

That combination worked the first time through the batting order, with only Carlos Ruiz making hard contact on a fastball Stephenson mistakenly left up in the zone. But his largely binary pitch selection and some visible nerves eroded his command slightly and made him stumble in the third. He left pitches up to Freddy Galvis, Ryan Howard, and Andres Blanco and had some trouble putting a pesky Odubel Herrera away, though Stephenson eventually struck him out on the ninth pitch of the at-bat.

The same would be true, to some degree, of the last two innings of Stephenson’s outing, in which he walked one batter, hit another, and surrendered two homers without striking out a man. But despite the sound of that summary, he wasn’t pitching poorly—23 of his last 35 pitches were in or on the fringes of the strike zone—and he wasn’t grooving many pitches despite his reliance on throwing Ol’ Number One.

Really, Stephenson’s worst pitches were the two above-the-belt fastballs Ryan Howard saw and turned into three runs with a single and home run (the latter coming in the fifth, after the Reds had staked Stephenson a seven-run lead). Outside of that, he did well in adverse, cold conditions. He pounded the arm-side of the plate and used the tailing action on his fastballs and changeups to snag a couple 50-50 strike calls and induce weak contact.

BobSteve pitch result

The bottom line is, this debut outing from Robert Stephenson comes with many caveats. On one hand, he faced a largely inept Phillies lineup and only managed a single strikeout in five full innings. On the other hand, three-quarters of Philadelphia’s run production came on two poorly-placed fastballs and the other run was the result of Cedric Hunter golfing a low pitch over the wall. All the while Stephenson only surrendered two walks (each of which came on the only full counts he pitched into all day) and grinded through five innings with chilly temperatures limiting his repertoire to some degree.

It wasn’t a glamorous debut. If anything it was a quiet and unceremonious arrival for one of the most exciting players in the Reds’ farm system. But one of the signs of great pitchers is pitching effectively when circumstances aren’t letting you play at your best. It was an workmanlike, professional outing. And though the stat line doesn’t look like much, none of Stephenson’s immense promise should be diminished by his performance on Thursday afternoon.

10 thoughts on “Stephenson’s Debut: Mostly Calm in the Midst of a Storm

  1. Nice, Kevin.

    Biggest takeaway for me was only 2 walks in that bad weather. Looking forward to seeing more of Mr. Stephenson later this year (perhaps).

    • The lack of BB, especially on under such miserable conditions, was a big positive from Stephenson’s MLB debut. His control issues over the past couple of seasons had really dampered his march to the show. Stephenson is not yet ready, but I think he demonstrated that he’s getting close. A late season call up in 2016 is a possibility, but I will be floored if he is not in the starting rotation on opening day 2017.

  2. Thanks for this detailed analysis. I thought it was impressive how he came back and got through the 5th after our long 7 run half inning, complete with a couple of pitching changes. On such a cold day, it must have been tough to stay loose and pitch effectively after that very very long time off.

  3. Just announced that Stephenson’s roster spot will be taken by 1B Brandon Allen. He is the LH hitting masher that had a pretty good spring. Also he was not on the 40 man which makes this a little bit of a curious move to me since it would seem to infer a move other than shipping Allen back down to make room for Desclafani on Sunday. Or, maybe we will see Strailey take the start on Sunday instead of Disco.

    • Another possibility is that the Reds will DFA Pacheco and keep Allen as a LH bat off the bench. When Schebler starts, the Reds aere really missing a LH bat off the bench, except for Barnhart. I think Pacheco’s insurance policy as an emergency catcher has been neutralized by Mesoraco demonstrating no ill effects with the increased workload.

  4. Another fantastic article by an RLN contributor. Thank you!

  5. Well if Stephenson does become a really good starter, probably more than 10000 will say they saw his first start.

  6. Am I the only one a little curious about the velo? He supposedly touches 98, or at least used to. I don’t think he ticked above 92 yesterday more than a few times. Is this intentional to improve his movement/command on the FB? Weather?

  7. As I posted about 3 weeks ago, placing JJ Hoover as a closer is absolutely ludicrous.

    • This article has nothing to do with Hoover. He literally was not mentioned once.

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