The Reds might be having their worst season in fourteen years, but their dominance against the playoff bound Pittsburgh Pirates continued on Labor Day in the Queen City. The win on Monday afternoon pushed the Reds record against the Pirates to 10-4 in 2015.

The Reds scored three times in the third inning to take a quick 3-0 lead. Eugenio Suarez had an RBI single, and then the Reds got two more runs on a sacrifice fly by Tucker Barnhart. The Pirates right-fielder, Gregory Polanco, air-mailed the throw home, which allowed two runs to score.

Anthony DeSclafani was very sharp. He didn’t allow a run through the first seven innings, but couldn’t make it out of the eighth inning. Jumbo Diaz came in and got out of the mini-jam in the eighth inning. Aroldis Chapman finished off the Pirates in the ninth to secure a 3-1 win.

Final R H E
Cincinnati Reds (57-79) 3 4 1
Pittsburgh Pirates (81-55) 1 7 4
W: DeSclafani (8-10) L: Locke (7-10) S: Chapman (29)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Box Score | Game Thread

Biggest Play of the Game

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Eugenio Suarez’s RBI single in the 2nd inning with 0 outs, giving the Reds a 1-0 lead. That play increased the Reds chances of winning by 10.1% (from 58.6% to 74.8%).

Player of the Game

Anthony DeSclafani: 7.1 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 6 K, 1.50 FIP

DeSclafani was outstanding on Monday afternoon. He didn’t allow a walk in 7.1 innings, and struck out 6. Through 26 starts this season, DeSclafani has a 3.75 ERA and 3.81 FIP. He has done a great job of late by limiting walks. DeSclafani has walked just 10 batters in his last 7 starts (42.0 IP).

Positives

Jay Bruce collected his 1,000th career hit in the 2nd inning. Bruce had to earn it too, as he saw 13-pitches in the at-bat. Jason Bourgeois had a 13-pitch AB in the first game on Saturday. Those two 13-pitch at-bats by Bruce and Bourgeois are the only 13-pitch AB’s since 2012 for the Reds.

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Joey Votto extended his on-base streak to 26 consecutive games (10 game hitting streak) with a single on an 0-2 pitch in the 3rd inning. Owen Watson of Fox Sports wrote a great piece today about Votto’s historic 2015 season.

Highest_wRC-_All_LastPlace

The Reds turned a really great double play to get out of trouble in the 8th inning. I am not sure which was better: the actual play or the reaction from Jumbo Diaz. Oh, it’s definitely Jumbo’s reaction.

DP

Jumbo

Negatives

Todd Frazier went 0 for 4 with 2 K, and is now hitting .261/.311/.509 on the season. He was hitting .284/.337/.585 at the All-Star break. It is amazing that there was a point in time when people actually thought Todd Frazier was a better hitter than Joey Votto. Maybe the Reds should have traded Todd Frazier at the deadline? Too soon?

The win today hurts the Reds chances of the #1 overall draft pick 🙁

Not so random thoughts…………..

That appears to be all of the September call-ups for the Reds. It looks like the Reds will not call up top prospects Jesse Winker or Robert Stephenson. That is a move that I personally agree with. I don’t think the Reds will be ready to compete again until at least 2017, so there is reason to rush either of these guys.

Jim Day speculated on the Reds broadcast that Brandon Finnegan could start for the Reds on Wednesday. The Reds currently have Wednesday’s starter listed as TBA, and Wednesday would be Finnegan’s day to pitch on normal rest. Finnegan was of course the Reds top prospect acquired for Johnny Cueto from the Royals.

Up Next:

Pirates at Reds
Tuesday, 7:10 PM
TV: Fox Sports Ohio
Raisel Iglesias (14 GS, 3.81 ERA, 3.54 FIP) vs Francisco Liriano (26 GS, 3.40 ERA, 3.32 FIP)

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

Join the conversation! 39 Comments

  1. I thought Sampson would start the Wednesday game.

    • It’s been announced that Sampson will start the game, with Villareal waiting in the wings. Also Price has indicated that Brandon Finnegan will be called up – he talked about using him in relief of Sampson instead of starting him.

      Looks like Sampson will have a very short lease.

      • He’d better, with the way he has pitched. I wouldn’t buy a house, that’s for sure.

  2. DISCO FEVER…CATCH IT!

  3. Votto is not likely to win the MVP award playing for a last place team. Though his efforts this year playing for a struggling team is impressive. In my opinion, it is much easier to be up for games when you play for a winning team and every game counts. When you are on a team with a record like the Reds have, you are playing for pride with no external stimulus.

    Maybe someone who had a bit of a professional career, like LW, could weigh in on this.

    • The other factor working against Votto is the lack of talent and production around him makes it more difficult for Votto to be productive. Its a challenge almost as severe as when Votto returned from his knee injury in 2012 and had no strength or power from his base and slashed .316/.505/.421 over the final month.

      • Yes. Related to that is the pitching around Votto, the lack of baserunners when he’s up, etc. makes it hard for him to pick up a lot of RBIs, which are still counted heavily.
        This gives Goldschmidt an advantage, for voters willing to vote for a player on a non-contending team.

  4. You’ve got to be real happy with Disco and Suarez. And tomorrow Iggy will baffle the Pirates.

  5. I missed Rodriguez’ plate appearance against Chapman. Any issue with the HBP with 1 out and a 1-1 count? Of course, Hurdle doesn’t need an issue. He’ll just manufacture one as an excuse to retaliate.

    • It was a slider that hit Rodriguez harmlessly on the foot and brought the tying run to the plate. Even Hurdle can’t make something of that.

    • It was a slider breaking down and in, maybe ended up in the dirt. Must have got Rodriguez on the shoe. … There should be no way that Hurdle and the Pirates make something out of THAT hit-by-pitch.

      • Yes and after taking the first pitch for a 100 mph called strike, Rodriguez was obviously relieved to be walking to 1st base.

  6. If you leave batting order to the side, and just like at who’s starting and what position they’re playing, today’s lineup (with Hamilton substituted for Bourgios, as he’s coming back tomorrow), the Reds can win a little more than they have been.

    It seems that Duvall will be the guy against LHed pitchers.

  7. Disco and Suarez’ trades probing to be very good deals. Not to mention the Royals’ for Cueto…yet. How many good trades has WJ done over the years in Cincy?. It’d be fair to post about it when talking about his legacy. If only…

    BTW, as much heat the Reds front office/medical staff gets, I found out that the “perfect Cards’ front office” does make serious mistakes too.

    http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/09/jordan-walden-shoulder-injury-surgery.html

    I just imagine the reaction in here if this happened to the Reds. But I really loved the part about their GM taking risks and handling Walden a 2-year contract. It sounded that was a “gut decision” opposite to what they tell us about their decisions made by analytics. Or perhaps their internet just went off? 🙂

    • The Cards front office makes mistakes every year (like they all do), and I like to point them out.

      Plenty of people here comment about WJ’s good trades, they’re just out-numbered by the comments about the bad signings.
      I feel if you’re talking about one, acknowledge the other too.

      • Good, I’m disgusted of the self-entitled Cards’ and their fans. They are in the middle of a good run and everybody is talking like they’ve always been like that. Look the span between 1969=1982, they were nowhere to be found while the Reds Won 2 titles and went to another 2 WS. It’s time to stop this dumb worship.

        Sorry, I haven’t read the good comments about his trades. In fact, when a poster dares to say something positive about the Reds Front Office, he/she immediately gets harsh comments coming his way. Not that I really care, in fact is kind of funny. 🙂

        • The Cardinals are in the middle of a good 85 year run. Congratulations on finding one 13 year period in history in which the Reds were significantly better. It isn’t dumb worship to recognize that one franchise has generally been better than the other over a very long period of time.

        • Over the past 16 years, the Cardinals have had a better record than the Reds 14 times and have outdrawn them all 16 years.

          Over the past 101 seasons, the Cardinals have had the better record 60 times and have outdrawn the Reds 71 times.

          The 70’s were the only time the Reds both outplayed and outdrew St. L. ….9 of 10.

          In the 90’s, the Reds had a better record 6 times, but only had higher attendance twice.

          Since 1960, Cards have hsd the better record 30 of 56 times and won attendance 41 of 56.

          Since 1970, the Cards have a better record 24 of 46 and attendance lead 33 of 46.

          Since 1980, Cards have had the better record 23 of 36 and attendance lead 32 of 36.

          Do you still think the success of the Cardinals is a recent phenomena?

    • Forgot to mention the fact that Walden was essentially a throw in to the Jason Heyward trade.

  8. Bruce is seeing the ball well right now, taking close pitches and fouling off tough pitches. If he goes into a September hot streak, his numbers will be about at their career norm.

  9. Diaz got seriously bailed out by Kang, who swung at ball 4 and ball 5. If Kang walked, bases loaded and Price has Badenhop ready to face Alvarez, not a good matchup (Badenhop not so good against lefties). Alvarez can’t hit Chapman at all, Price wasn’t going to bring him in to pitch in the 8th regardless of circumstances.

    Without Chapman this bullpen has nothing.

  10. Sometimes we win despite Dusty,I mean Price.If Kang reaches and Badenhop comes in then we lose.Was Chappy even warming up just in case?

    • No Chapman was not warming up. The tv broadcasters kept saying it and the camera showed Chapman just standing there.

      If Kang doesn’t swing at 2 pitches out of the strike zone, there’s a good chance the Reds lose, or at least the game is tied and Disco loses the W. Price doesn’t mind taking away wins from his young pitchers (we might not care so much about the W stat, but Disco and Iglesias care a great deal).

      • Here is something I do not understand. Totally out of the blue, Price uses Chapman in the eighth inning against the Cubs in game #130. The strategy works. Now Price seems to have abandoned the idea of using Chapman in the eighth inning. Why? Has Price ever offered any explanation for his random behavior in game 130? The eighth inning today was a perfect opportunity to use Chapman. I am totally perplexed and confused.

  11. Frazier had a terrible July and August and so far he’s even worse in September. You would expect an experienced major league hitter to adjust at some point.

    Price should sit him down for a couple of days, try to clear his head. One time Frazier ended a slump after watching himself play with pure joy in the Little League WS. Maybe it’s time to break out that video.

  12. Thanks PINSON.With Chappy not warming ,Price is willing to lose the game with his best reliever watching.How can any GM or owner allow this type of behavior?You play to win the game to quote Herm Edwards.Hello Bob/Walt your manager thinks its April and we are trying to see what we have in the pen.

  13. Was our leadoff hitter asked to sac bunt in 5th inning w/ Reds up 3-0 after Disco got a single? If so, is it possible Price is trying to lose games at this point? Is there any other rational explanation to give up an out in that situation with the guy you picked to bat leadoff?

  14. Of course Frazier is a better hitter. He’s a better run producer! RIB-EYE STEAKS!!! WOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

  15. I commented on Frazier entering and winning the home run contest ruined his timing for 2 years in a row. Maybe next year he should forego this.

    • I think Frazier’s swoon was already underway by the ASG; but, the HR Derby doesn’t seemed to have helped at all either.

      • I don’t mean to sound trite but I do believe those lobs from his brother in the HR Derby threw off his timing.

    • It’s a glorified batting practice. Players take batting practice everyday. Frazier had been in a swoon for a couple weeks when the HR Derby took place, so I just don’t buy it as an excuse.

      Frazier’s problem isn’t his timing. It’s that he is swinging at bad pitches. He looks to be guessing all the time, and doesn’t seem to be able to recognize pitches right now. For the first two months of the season, he was being patient, taking his walks, and swinging at good pitches. For whatever reason, he stopped doing that and his slump started soon afterwards.

      • I have not found or seen any reference for bat speed of a hitter, just exit velocity. Does any such data exist anywhere?

Comments are closed.

About Nick Kirby

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

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