The Reds (31-35) have won three straight games and are rolling right now. Todd Frazier currently has a seven game hitting streak during which he has hit .367/.406/1.000. Let me repeat that: over the past seven games, the Toddfather has slugged 1.000 by way of five home runs, four doubles, and two singles. His wRC+ is an absolutely preposterous 281. I’m still in the camp of keeping SuperTodd around for the next couple of years, but the proposition of trading him for some team’s top prospects does look better and better. And for goodness sakes, send the man to the All-Star Game.

STARTING PITCHERS
All stats are 2015 actuals (Nicolino’s are AAA):

PITCHER ERA  FIP HR/9 BB% K%
Justin Nicolino 2.87 4.53 0.80 6.5% 13.9%
Anthony DeSclafani 3.36 3.61 0.46 9.2% 16.2%

Tonight, Anthony DeSclafani will make his first start against his former team after being traded this offseason. Much was made of that trade, most of it by the aggrieved Mat Latos, but with a small amount of time separating us now, the trade looks like a unanimous win for the Reds. DeSclafani is pitching superbly for a rookie who is under contract for the next six years while Latos has been on the DL and posted a 5.37 ERA when he wasn’t. To his credit, Latos did say he regrets those remarks after the trade.

As for Disco’s on-field performance, he’s been solid ever since that 3.0 inning horror show against San Francisco. In five starts since, Disco has posted a 2.76 ERA and 2.77 FIP with 19 strikeouts in 32.2 innings.

For the Marlins, Justin Nicolino will make his Major League debut in place of the scratched Tom Koehler. Nicolino is the number 3 prospect in the Marlins’ system behind Tyler Kolek and Jose Urena. Interestingly enough, Nicolino and Anthony DeSclafani were both acquired by the Marlins in a deal with the Blue Jays in 2012. Nicolino does not feature overpowering stuff, his changeup being his best pitch, but his pinpoint command makes him a very promising young pitcher. He won’t strikeout many batters, instead pitching to contact as a groundball pitcher.

STARTING LINEUPS
Good guy Brayan Pena is back in the Reds‘ lineup in front of Marlon Byrd:

1. Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
2. Joey Votto (L) 1B
3. Todd Frazier (R) 3B
4. Jay Bruce (L) RF
5. Brayan Pena (S) C
6. Marlon Byrd (R) LF
7. Eugenio Suarez (R) SS
8. Anthony DeSclafani (R) P
9. Billy Hamilton (S) CF
WESLEY

The Marlins’ lineup:

1. Dee Gordon (L) 2B
2. Derek Dietrich (L) 3B
3. Christian Yelich (L) LF
4. Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
5. Marcell Ozuna (R) CF
6. Justin Bour (L) 1B
7. J.T. Realmuto (R) C
8. Adeiny Hechavarria (R) SS
9. Justin Nicolino (L) P
WESELY

BACK TO THE FUTURE


What if the Reds’ rotation next year was Bailey, Lorenzen, Iglesias, DeSclafani, and Stephenson with Moscot as a sixth man?

MESORACO’S SURGERY

VOTING FRAUD


I bet the Cardinals were behind it.

@DATDUDEBOBBLEHEAD

REIGNING


My not-so-subtle reminder that one of my favorite baseball teams is doing good things this season.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS
A-Rod got hit number 3000 yesterday. I could honestly care less about him, but I feel like it still deserves a mention. The Reds are actually playing good baseball right now, so there’s that. The MLB as a collective has no idea how to use technology. Tyler Stephenson went 2 for 3 in his first minor league game.

Go REDS

75 Responses

  1. msanmoore

    Yep, love or hate A-Rod, 3K hits don’t come easily and neither do 600 HR’s. Wonder what the “real” numbers might be … we’ll never know, but I’d imagine they’d still be up there.

    Good news on Devin’s surgery. Get it done and get back to healthy.

    • DHud

      I feel like A-Rod has given fans everywhere, including myself, the right to not recognize his achievements regardless of the “love or hate” argument.

      • jdx19

        Even so, 3000 hits is probably helped less by PEDs than are home runs.

      • DHud

        True. Still don’t care about him or any of his “achievements.” Same goes for Bonds, McGwire, Sosa, etc.

      • jdx19

        Agreed, DHUD. That’s why I’m a big fan of all the great young players in the game. I wan to re-write the record books again and knock all the ‘roiders down a peg or two.

  2. Steelerfan

    know the easy thing to say is why did they waste a 25 man roster spot for so long, and why didn’t they decide on surgery earlier. And I know there have been several long and informative articles on this exact issue here.

    But still, why did they waste a 25 man roster spot for so long, and why didn’t they decide on surgery earlier?

    • ohiojimw

      On the 25 man roster part, because the minor league cupboard was so bare they had nobody they thought could contribute.

      The main thing that rankles me is that after keeping him as active all that time and putting off the infamous “bullpen session” to see if he could crouch etc.for so long, they finally decided to do it right when they were using him to DH and ended up losing his bat for 4 games.

      Rosecrans has posted an article about the surgery decision. Meso said he was feeling so well at the time of the failed crouching test that it did not occur to anyone involved that the test could go so badly. I say the player gets a mulligan because he would not be expected to totally understand the situation but somebody on the training, medical, or management staff should have foreseen the potential risk and held off the test until after the DHing stint.

  3. Steelerfan

    And thanks for the nice preview WJ.

  4. vared

    Haven’t kept up with Mes at all while on vacation: Does this mean the outfield experiment didn’t work out or the hip is just too bothersome?

    • ohiojimw

      In a nutshell, the hip refused the outfield assignment just as it did catching.

      • tct

        To be fair to the Doctor though, we never, as far as I know, heard exactly what his opinion was. All we had was Meso saying that the Doctor said playing couldn’t make the hip worse. As I’ve pointed out before, that is not the same thing as saying that it’s a good idea to play or that there are no other risks.

        Doctors are usually very specific and avoid speaking in absolutes, because there are no guarantees. I work in healthcare and have noticed that often what a.doctor says and what a patient hears are two different things. Or sometimes, the patient will only hear what he wants to hear.

      • jdx19

        Agree, TCT… but implicit in the whole story is that the doctor cleared Meso to play. Doesn’t really matter one way or another, though. Meso will be ready to go next year, just like if he’d had the surgery on day 1 of his DL stint! 😉

      • ohiojimw

        I agree. The Doc most likely meant that the underlying condition could not be made any worse. We have no way of knowing if Meso understood the symptoms could be greatly inflamed.

        Another thing we will never know is whether the aborted catching trial in KC did make the injury worse and led to the failure of the LF experiment. A person has to wonder because Meso was hitting and running the bases with no apparent issues prior to that final bullpen session catching test

    • wdwrolen2713

      Best lineup we could possibly have at this moment, if only cozart were healthy this would be really good lineup.

  5. WVRedlegs

    I see the Mariners released OF Justin Ruggiano. I liked him when he was with the Cubs and Marlins. He could be a decent pickup for the bench and be a legit backup in CF for BHam. He can play all 3 OF positions. He comes for free, and most likely the ML minimum. He is starting to get a little long in the tooth at age 33. He’d have to be better than Boesch and Dominguez.

    • Indy Red Man

      Josh Satin is raking at Lville if they need someone but I think they like Dominguez’s raw power even though he’s going to whiff 90% of the time

      • jdx19

        I’d like to see Satin get a cup of coffee. He’s got a similar trait with Votto that portends good hitting… a high, sustainable BABIP. In the minor, his BABIPs are high every year. No regression, like Votto.

      • jdx19

        After looking at some stats and thinking about the Reds… I think I know why Dominguez is up and not Satin… he hits more homers. That’s literally the only thing Dominguez does better than Satin. Gotta have “pop” off the bench, because getting on base would be untoward.

  6. Pooter

    I get to catch this game tonight. It’s been a while and I’m excited!!!

    • jdx19

      Huzzah! Last time a no hitter was thrown in the majors (Heston, SF), Votto his 3 HR. 😉

      • jdx19

        Should mention that Scherzer just threw one, in case that last statement felt a bit out of place. 😉

  7. renbutler

    Dietrich didn’t make any effort to get out of the way of that ball. In fact, it looked like he leaned forward subtly.

    I hate that. It’s supposed to be illegal.

    • jdx19

      Yep. One of my pet peeves, as well. I saw Biggio get called out 1 time for leaning into a pitch… but that’s it.

  8. wdwrolen2713

    For the past few days or so, FSO has been lagging and skipping horribly. The HD version works for the most part and maybe it is the rain we’ve had lately, but no other channel is acting up. Is anyone else noticing this?

    • renbutler

      No problems on DirecTV (although it’s technically Fox Sports Cincinnati).

  9. Debbie

    Rosecrans tweet about getting multiple ASG emails. I did also. I voted 35 times at each of two addresses, but got multiple emails for 25 votes ea. Crazy. Btw, I voted w/my 9 yr. old’s help.

    • jdx19

      I just got 3 more today after putting in 105 votes last night. Mine also say 25 each from today. You’d think this was a government website or something…

  10. wildwestlv

    Bush league move by Jose Tabata, leaning into Max Scherzer’s pitch to end his perfect game. Josh Harrison couldn’t stop the Bucs from getting no-hit, though.

    • renbutler

      His responsibility is to try to win games for a competitive team.

      That said, as I mentioned above, they need to start stop rewarding players who lean into pitches and get hit.

  11. Indy Red Man

    These lineouts are killers….have the Reds hit way more infield lineouts w/risp this year or am I imagining things?

    • jdx19

      As a team, Reds have a .278 BABIP (a little low), but with men in scoring position, their BABIP as a team is .244, so yeah… seems like some bad luck.

      Looking at batted balls, their SOFT/MED/HARD with men in scoring position is 23.4/52.4/24.2%. Otherwise, they hit about 3% more hard balls without men in scoring position.

      A bit of bad luck, and they aren’t hitting the ball as hard.

    • wdwrolen2713

      He’s pretty young too, maybe we should call him Cy the young or Cy Young.

  12. jdx19

    Welp, top of the order trying to give outs away.

  13. VaRedsFan

    BP bunting will take the bat out of votto’s hands. Don’t like that Price

  14. VaRedsFan

    bunt woulda looked good instead of that DP

  15. jdx19

    Here’s a poll question; How long until FSO starts showing OBP on their player splash screens?

    I’ve watched just about every team this year. Reds are the only ones that don’t.

  16. jdx19

    Don’t think Votto sees Nicolino well. He’s swung the bat 3 times and has a whiff and two late foul balls.

  17. jdx19

    Thom said last year was Stanton’s first good year…he and Welsh both don’t seem to know much about baseball.

    2010: 118 wRC+ (rookie year)
    2011: 141
    2012: 156
    2013: 135
    2014: 159
    2015: 154

    • jdx19

      He’s got 179 home runs at age 25…

      • Craig Z

        He hits .272 with RISP for his career, but hasn’t driven in 100 since his rookie year. So he has mixed results with the two most important stats. However, with the look test as the tie breaker, he is a great player.

      • jdx19

        Not sure if you’re intentionally trying to bait me into an argument or what…

      • Craig Z

        No. My sarcasm lost something in writing. Just making fun of that point of view.

    • jdx19

      And Thom also just insinuated with his tone that he believes Stanton, who isn’t “great” is better than Bryce Harper.

      Seriously, not sure how someone can be employed in major league baseball and be so clueless.

      • BigRedMike

        Thom thinks Byrd has been an excellent defender this year

        To your point, Stanton has been good his whole career

  18. wdwrolen2713

    Well! This escalated quickly.

  19. jdx19

    “Harper has never knocked in more than 59 runs in a season.” – Thom

    Harper is 2 years younger than Billy Hamilton.

    • tct

      This is the most “Thom” quote ever. Shows his ignorance, negativity, and love for RBI all in one quote.

      They should put it on his tombstone.

      • jdx19

        Hah! Well-stated. It was accompanied with something like “Maybe one day he’ll get there.” (paraphrased) As if being one of the 4 greatest players ever through age 22 isn’t good enough (Mantle, Kaline, Trout).

  20. VaRedsFan

    Its only 3-0 , but bringing BHop in now might put it out of reach….he’s warming up

    • RedAlert

      Agree – game will get out of hand if reds bring in the “human batting practice machine “

  21. RedAlert

    This game is so far a prime example why Castellini should not hold back on the pending fire sale – put forth an effort like this against the Marlins -> 3 game win streak = fools gold -Nicolino – really ???!!!

  22. VaRedsFan

    Another liner at someone with a man on 2nd

  23. jdx19

    I wonder how many complete game shutouts have been throw in a player’s first start in major league history.

  24. Indy Red Man

    Soft tossing lefties are the kiss of death for the Reds and have been for years:( Baseball in general just doesn’t have enough offense anymore? Bigger strike zones, more hard throwers, def charts have been fine tuned, etc. If you just pull up any random game…its very unlikely that both teams will have 3 runs or more

  25. jdx19

    Thom would apparently rather have Brett Butler than Giancarlo Stanton or Bryce Harper.

    • BigRedMike

      Butler was an ooooouuuuuuutstannnding player

  26. wdwrolen2713

    Now they can shut up about Parra.

  27. jdx19

    What a disaster of a game. Deitrich in his 8th major league game hits 2 homers, and Nicolino is spinning a shut-out in his first major league game…

  28. wdwrolen2713

    Price getting too cute with bullpen management. Burke doing fine, if it aint broke don’t fix it.

  29. Indy Red Man

    How is this Capps guy even legal? He hops 2 feet closer to the plate before he even delivers the ball? That’s bs? How does anyone hit this guy?

    • jdx19

      He went airborne in the past and MLB made him add the foot drag.

  30. Tom Reed

    Many a game, over the years, where a pitcher making his ML debut beats the Reds. Maybe not more than any other team, but it is seems like it.