After a hot start that came to an abrupt halt, the Reds ended the month of April sitting in 4th place in the Central with an 11-11 record and 4.5 games back from the Cardinals. The month of May is already off to a bad start without a game having been played as it was announced that Homer Bailey will undergo Tommy John surgery and is out for the season.

STARTING PITCHERS
DeSclafani stats are 2015 actuals, Foltynewicz are 2015 AAA numbers:

PITCHER ERA  FIP HR/9 BB% K%
Michael Foltynewicz 2.08 2.51 0.42 10.8% 32.3%
Anthony DeSclafani 1.04 3.38 0.69 6.1% 21.2%

Anthony DeSclafani has been the darling of the Reds’ rotation so far, posting a meager 1.04 ERA and leading the National League in that category, but it’s not likely to last. DeSclafani’s miniscule .174 BABIP is fourth in the NL and should be expected to rise as the season goes on. Interestingly enough, the Reds have three pitchers (Leake–2nd, DeSclafani–4th, Cueto–8th) in the top 10 of BABIP in the NL, which probably reflects at least in small part on the effectiveness of the Reds’ defense, Marlon Byrd nothwithstanding.

For the Braves, Michael Foltynewicz will make his first big league start after pitching some in relief for the Astros last year in August and September. Foltynewicz was acquired by the Braves in the Evan Gattis trade and immediately became the organization’s top pitching prospect. The righty is by all means a power arm, whose fastball sits at 95-97 and can touch triple digits. The scouting report from Baseball America last August:

His fastball can be too straight at times, especially when he’s up in the zone, but when he gets it down in the zone it shows some sink. If he can locate it down in the zone early in the count, he can then elevate late in the count for strikeouts. His secondary stuff is still a work in progress. Foltynewicz’s breaking ball is still too slurvy even after a switch to a spike curveball, generally lacking the bite that he flashes occasionally. His changeup has improved this year as he maintains his arm speed more often, but it’s still a below-average pitch.

STARTING LINEUPS
A.J. Pierzynski catches for the Braves today and Alberto Callaspo replaces Chris Johnson who broke his hand in yesterday’s game.

1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
2. Alberto Callaspo (S) 3B
3. Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
4. A.J. Pierzynski (L) C
5. Kelly Johnson (L) LF
6. Jace Peterson (L) 2B
7. Andrelton Simmons (R) SS
8. Eric Young Jr. (S) CF
9. Mike Foltynewicz (R) P
WESLEY

Brandon Phillips makes his return to the Reds‘ lineup after missing yesterday’s game with an illness.

1. Billy Hamilton (S) CF
2. Zack Cozart (R) SS
3. Joey Votto (L) 1B
4. Todd Frazier (R) 3B
5. Jay Bruce (L) RF
6. Brandon Phillips (R) 2B
7. Marlon Byrd (R) LF
8. Brayan Pena (S) C
9. Anthony DeSclafani (R) P
WESLEY

TROTTING IS BETTER THAN RUNNING ANYWAY


The Reds have obviously been homer happy this year as we could all tell from a 5-1 game with four solo shots. While the long ball has been working so far, it isn’t sustainable and will pose a problem for this team that struggles to get on base. Hopefully, Billy Hamilton comes around and sets the table for Votto/Frazier/Bruce as the season peddles along.

HOMER BAILY UPDATE
Steve detailed it all on the site this morning, but Homer Bailey will miss the rest of 2015 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Over the years, the surgery has become more efficient and effective leading to faster recovery and rehab times, but that being said, every injury is different. It is far too early to tell when Homer Bailey will be back, but hopefully, we’ll see the righty early next season.

DOWN ON THE FARM
Grant Freking wrote a comprehensive piece this morning about the future prospects of outfielder Phillip Ervin and when Reds’ fans may see him…Donald Lutz underwent season-ending Tommy John surgery as well after suffering an elbow injury last week…Starting today, AAA teams will institute the same pace of play rules that are already in place at the major league level.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS
The Reds have the chance to start off the month of May the right way tonight and keep it going through the rest of the road trip.

GO REDS

128 Responses

  1. jdx19

    Interesting to see the #2 hitters. We know plenty about Cozart, but all I know about Callaspo is that he was a bench player yesterday. Now he is the #2 hitter.

    • Kurt Frost

      Callaspo played for the angels. Light hitting infielder.

  2. FLA Red

    Lord, I hate to see Homer go down. But I’m still the ever-foolish optimist with our club. A few bats need to get hot, and maybe the youngsters on the mound can keep us through late innings. In the 8th, it’s like my high school football coach would say: Call in the dogs to piss on the fire. Still, after 35 years, I don’t know exactly what that means. He said other phrases I would never post.
    And Leake is a real machine. He would be more affordable than Cueto, and I would like to see him stay.
    Keep the faith, ladies and gentlemen.

  3. Gaffer

    I know it’s because Mes is out but this lineup is basically the same as the lineup in 2012. BHam is in for Stubbs and Pena for Hannegan but the same performance of the players by and large.

    • I-71_Exile

      Thanks! That was awesome. I’ll take Danzig Moon.

  4. Silence Dogood

    I am interested to see this youngster from Atlanta. Has a reputation as a hard thrower and info above backs that up. He has really been hyped up by the Braves faithful. It’ll be interesting to see if the Reds hitters can get him in hitters counts and sit on the fastball. I think we could see some runs from the good guys tonight.

  5. jdx19

    Billy smoked one at 96. Missed a triple by a hair!

  6. msanmoore

    OK, may not have gotten hits yet, but we’re starting out running up his pitch count … and as I type, Cozart singles!!

    • msanmoore

      And obviously Joey needs to take a couple pitches … am I right?

  7. Steve Mancuso

    Another chance for Frazier to drive a run in from third base.

  8. msanmoore

    A double steal? Somebody tell me what that looked like please.

    • jdx19

      Runners weren’t held on at 2nd or 1st and they got running leads, basically. Folty is very deliberate to the plate.

      • msanmoore

        Thanks JDX … that makes sense. Now if we can only make something of it.

  9. Steve Mancuso

    Pitched around Jay Bruce to get to BP. Make him pay, DatDude.

    • jdx19

      Whoop, there it is!!

      NICE piece of hitting by BP. Just served it into center!

  10. jdx19

    Scouting report correct so far. Throws hard, struggles with command.

  11. Steve Mancuso

    Last night to buy t-shirts and hats.

  12. Steve Mancuso

    Who-hoo! Fooled Phillips, but BP gets it over the 2B head.

  13. msanmoore

    Oh if those guys are running on him, imagine what Billy will do.

    • mwvohio

      Unfortunately the league requires you to reach base somehow before you get to start stealing ’em.

  14. Jeremy Conley

    Man, I thought Byrd had that one. The Reds are just running all over this battery. I wonder if AJP can still get the ball all the way to 2nd base.

  15. PhoenixPhil

    Nothing came of it, but it was nice to see Bruce go first to third.

  16. vared

    Listening – not watching, and I had that one on the scoreboard based on MB’s call. Oh well.

    • Steve Mancuso

      Catcher had already tossed the pitcher a new ball, according to Brantley.

  17. msanmoore

    Gameday has those first three at the bottom of the zone. Is he getting squeezed or were they low?

    • mwvohio

      Just an inconsistent zone at the bottom early on. That K was on a pitch in the same place as a ball called earlier in the at bat.

      • msanmoore

        Thanks. MLB really needs to do something about the flexible zones IMO.

      • mwvohio

        They’re trying. The zones have gotten much more consistent over the last few years due to the pitch/fx info and umpires using that after games to judge themselves, etc. Much much better than 10+ years ago in my opinion where each umpire seemed to have his own version of a strike zone.

      • Grand Salami

        That 5 pitch walk had two pitches in the game cast strike zone contributing to the walk.

  18. Steve Mancuso

    Billy has two hard-hit balls tonight.

    • charlottencredsfan

      100% square stance, go figure. Probably tomorrow night, he will open it back up. Complete and utter idiocy.

  19. mwvohio

    Reds are just smashing the ball for a second straight night. We’re going to score some more runs.

  20. ProspectCincy

    Cozart needs to get out of the 2 hole … Billy has been on 4 times in front of him now, and he’s swung at the first pitch all four times (all four outs, one double play).

    PATIENCE. Billy can’t give you an advantage if you’re swinging first pitch every time.

    • Jeremy Conley

      Cozart did knock the crap out of that ball, and Billy was at 2nd already with 2 outs. Stealing 3rd didn’t actually crate much of an advantage.

    • charlottencredsfan

      I like Zack in the top half of the line-up, anywhere but batting 1st or 2nd.

  21. Silence Dogood

    Folty has, by my count, thrown just 1 or 2 breaking balls for a strike. If that doesn’t change, he’ll be out of there by the 4th inning. He has a really slurvy, flat, sloppy curveball. Even though he is 95-97, they will tee off on him if they can eliminate the curveball.

  22. Janet

    Disco has already equaled his career high for walks in a game. Must be having a bad day.

  23. Steve Mancuso

    Ump is really squeezing strike zone for both pitchers, but particularly hurting DeSclafani. One of his walks was intentional.

    • Janet

      Whoops, now he’s set a new career high in walks. A really bad day … for the umpire.

  24. Indy Red Man

    BP is 2-2 on breaking balls when the guy throws 98 mph…..thank you

  25. msanmoore

    “Brandon, here comes the deuce. And when you speak of me, speak kindly.”

      • I-71_Exile

        Sorry–was in the midst of marveling at Byrd’s patience in reply to your post and then the Reds scored. Dang ADD.

  26. Art Wayne Austin

    To Fla Red: Your HS coach was referring to an old fox hunting saying. I never did understand how you catch a fox by turning your dogs loose, gather around a fire to identify your dog’s bark chasing a fox. You then close the hunt by calling it quits, POTFACT dogs.

  27. Indy Red Man

    Cmon Tony Disco…ducks on the pond

  28. Indy Red Man

    If Milw was healthy they would be better than Atlanta. The Braves have next to nothing at this point

  29. charlottencredsfan

    Meatball. Rookie mistake?

    • mwvohio

      Probably got lulled to sleep by this Braves lineup. I know I was drifting a bit as this game went on.

      • I-71_Exile

        According to GameDay, it was as grooved as grooved can be. Sadly, the next pitch to Markakis was in just about the same spot—and called a ball.

  30. Indy Red Man

    Tony seems pretty intense….that will be a nice learning opportunity. Don’t walk the 8 hitter and don’t groove one to the pitcher just because he’s the pitcher

  31. BigRedMike

    Guy throws hard.

    Votto stolen base. Great season by Joey

  32. charlottencredsfan

    Royals lineup is unreal, 1 thru 6 BA: .294, .348, .333, .326, .330. 330.

    • charlottencredsfan

      Even harder to believe, wRC+: 161, 166, 144, 150, 134, 125. Jeez Louise!

      • jdx19

        Never seen such a good candidate for regression! 🙂

  33. Indy Red Man

    Jay Bruce .191 career hitter with 2 outs/risp.

  34. Bearcatville76

    I’m late to the party I know, but it is sad that my first thought after seeing Byrd walk was “I need to get one RLN to see what people are saying about that. ”

    Btw, did anyone hear that Homer is having surgery?

  35. charlottencredsfan

    These kind of games are almost impossible for the Reds to win, given our bullpen.

  36. RedAlert

    This guy gives up too may dingers – period

  37. Indy Red Man

    They get 4 runs with 2 outs…..we can’t get a 2 out hit to save our lives

  38. Indy Red Man

    Battle of the horrible bullpens coming up

  39. RedAlert

    3-0 lead and Disco can’t stand prosperity –

  40. mwvohio

    I will never understand why Brandon does that fake bunt take a strike thing. Does anyone in the entire league think he’s going to bunt or care if he does?

  41. RedAlert

    Looks like Braves pen sucks worse than Reds

    • I-71_Exile

      Disco is coming back to earth a little bit.

  42. Gaffer

    Man, Disco needs the offense to pick him up now.

  43. jdx19

    Just got back! Looks like we’re giving another newbie his first win. Good stuff.

    • I-71_Exile

      The Reds are good house guests. They say please and thank you and avoid talking about politics and religion. That Mike Leake should be ashamed of himself for making the Braves look bad last night.

      Hopefully, Joey and Co. will exhibit some unruly behavior this inning and steal this one.

  44. jdx19

    Wow. Just looked at the box… the Reds have been running wild. Two steals for Votto and BP? I have got to rewatch this one!

  45. RedAlert

    Nice job Hoover – he’s been solid so far this year

  46. RedAlert

    Game bout to get out of reach courtesy of Bryan Price

    • RedAlert

      1 run game late and he goes to Gregg – just wow

  47. RedAlert

    You’re lucky Price – still a stupid move

    • RedAlert

      Does Price even have a learning curve ????

  48. jdx19

    To lose a game when outhitting the opponent 7-5 and stealing 5 bases is pretty atrocious.

  49. charlottencredsfan

    Chris Young is throwing a no-no for KC against the Tigers, though 6 innings.

    • jdx19

      They took him out after 5 innings at 81 pitches… weird. Maybe hurt?

      • charlottencredsfan

        Don’t know, trying to watch 3 games at one time and I missed it. Young is frail.

  50. jdx19

    Max Scherzer being 1-3 is criminal. 1.26 ERA. Yeah… wins.

    • charlottencredsfan

      The Senators, I mean Nationals, stink.☺

      • jdx19

        3-1 in their last 4 games!

        I think they’ll be fine. Too much pitching not to be fine. But it’ll be a dogfight all year, not the easy romp everyone expected.

      • charlottencredsfan

        I think they get a little over-hyped. Still should win the East but come playoff time, the Cubs will take them out.☺

  51. charlottencredsfan

    Contreras has the stuff. If he can find his control, he will be a nice piece in the pen.

  52. jdx19

    Silver lining for tonight, Marlon drew his 2nd walk of the year!

  53. jdx19

    Oh, catchers. How I love your slowness! 🙂 Good AB, Brayan!

  54. charlottencredsfan

    Time for Mes to unload!

  55. jdx19

    Reds 3-3 against MIL/ATL in their last 6 against them. That’s… not good. (Cherry-picked stat, I know)

    • jdx19

      The 8 non-Votto hitters got on base 8 total times, which is better than usual. Just very poor sequencing of Disco’s hits/walks/HR allowed. Giving up a 2-run double to a minor league pitcher is pretty inexcusable. Disco certainly lost the game. I wouldn’t say he was unlucky, really.

  56. jdx19

    Hmm… balls 5 inches off the plate for strikes.

  57. RedAlert

    Let the one run madness begin again – this is just a .500 team or worse all year –

    • jdx19

      That isn’t really news. .500 ball would outperform every single expectation from every single baseball outlet on the internet and TV. Not even sure if they are a .500 team w/o Bailey and Meso.

  58. charlottencredsfan

    That one stings a little. Winnable game.