Game Thread

Reds at Brewers (July 22)

The Reds attempt to snap a four-game losing streak tonight in Milwaukee. They have fallen to 3.5 games behind the Brewers and are in fourth place in the division. Game time is 8:10 p.m. Weather forecast doesn’t matter because of the roof.

Homer Bailey takes the mound for the fourth time this season against the Brewers. Most recently, two starts ago, he went eight innings but lost a 1-0 duel with Matt Garza who limited the Reds to two hits while striking out nine.

Bailey’s foe tonight is not Garza, it’s Jimmy Nelson, a 24-year-old rookie making his third start of the year for the Brewers. He’s considered the top prospect in Milwaukee’s system. Keep in mind that every organization has to have a top prospect, no matter how good he may be. Nelson is rated B by John Sickles and a possible #3 or #4 starter. He’s ranked the #63 prospect by MLB and their report on him says that scouts remain split on Nelson, who is viewed by some as a possible reliever. Nelson is a ground ball pitcher with a may-reach 96-mph fastball (average: 93.1) and a power slider. On July 12, Nelson was utterly rocked by the light-hitting Cardinals.

DL News: The Reds placed Logan Ondrusek on the DL with a strained right shoulder, retroactive to July 13 (Mark Sheldon). RHP Curtis Partch was called up from Louisville.

Devin Mesoraco is sitting out this game, for the second time since the All-Star break. Price was asked about it and said the Reds needed a really good start from Bailey. “We need a really good start,” Price said. “Homer threw really well in San Francisco against the Giants when he threw to Pena. Over the course of their careers together, Homer will throw a lot to Devin. Devin has scuffled a little bit at the plate. I think a day off isn’t the worst thing and putting those two together is good as well.” (Mark Sheldon) Hmm. Mesoraco caught Bailey’s great start against *the Brewers* two weeks ago.

Skip Schumaker (.255/.303/.340) is batting second.

The way Ryan Ludwick has looked against hard-throwing pitchers lately, I’m not sure about the match-up with Nelson.

Todd Frazier is back at first base which means Ramon Santiago is playing third, weakening the Reds at both positions defensively.

Have I mentioned the condition of the roster lately? #wegotjackforthat

1. Billy Hamilton (S) CF
2. Skip Schumaker (L) 2B
3. Todd Frazier (R) 1B
4. Jay Bruce (L) RF
5. Ryan Ludwick (R) LF
6. Brayan Pena (S) C
7. Zack Cozart (R) SS
8. Ramon Santiago (S) 3B
9. Homer Bailey (R) P

Go Reds!


367 thoughts on “Reds at Brewers (July 22)

  1. Can someone explain to me how Frazier did not score on the double from Bruce? I watched the replay and they would not even have tried to get him at home. They tried to get Bruce at second.

  2. I’ve always heard that the Home Run Derby screws up swings. I think it has messed up Frazier’s swing. He doesn’t look like the same hitter.

    • If my memory serves me, Todd looked like he was reverting to the “old” Todd in that last series before the all star break. Reaching at that low outside pitch.

    • I believe the team motto is something like: “You can’t hit a solo home run if you don’t swing the bat.”

  3. The score is 2-1 not 12-1 Brewers, but judging from the comments you would believe for all the world that it was 12-1 Brewers Bot. 6th inning. What in the wide, wide world of sports is going on around here. (as I wave my hat to clear the air)

  4. That’s the second fantastic defensive plays by Schumaker this game.

  5. That’s a bummer to give the run back. With the way it looks like baseballs are jumping out of here, it makes me sad that Mes isn’t in the lineup, seeing as he’s a legit HR threat.

    • +1

      Would have loved to see Mes up there in the 4th with runners on 2nd and 3rd and one out, instead of Ludwick. I have a sneaking suspicion we would have at least 2 runs right now, if not more.

  6. Alright, not exactly speed demons on the paths, but there they are. Let’s bring them home. I heart Pena.

  7. Had to come back in briefly – Homer continuously gets beat on terrible breaking pitches – would like to know how many times this year he has given up home runs on his breaking ball – seems like an awful lot to me (maybe I’m wrong)

    • I think that if Simon had given up three dingers the conversation around here would sound a little different…..,

    • His split finger and slider both are positive in terms of weighted runs above average. It looks like his curveball and fastball are the problem (in terms of wRAA). Standardized pitch values (takes into account how often the pitches are thrown) show that he is struggling with his curve, but not his other two breaking pitches.

      These do not consider BABIP or park effects. Please keep in mind this is a descriptive stat, not a predictive one.

  8. This guy is cooked. He’s never gone this long at the MLB level. Gotta get him right now.

  9. Welp, here we go. Can we push a couple across here, or is that asking too much?

    • Santiago to short, Frazier to third, Pena to first, and Mes to catch. At least that’s what I would do.

      If you don’t want to put Mes in, then do the first two changes and put Lutz in at first.

  10. Bunting there, especially with the count 2-0 and 3-1 was incredibly conservative and against the odds.

    • AAgree. You fake a bunt maybe, and then swing away. With Luddy on base it really has to be a good bunt anyway.

    • Cozart is hitting .176 this season with RISP (.204 for his career), and tends to either pop up or hit ground balls directly at short or third. It’s a lot easier to imagine a double play than a hit.

  11. Kid really fell apart that inning. Reds really don’t have a hard hit ball this inning. It’s about time those kind of breaks started falling this way a bit.

    That said, the Reds hitters have terrible strike zone appreciation.

  12. On the replay, looked like Santiago took one for the team. He watched the ball all the way in as it hit his foot and never moved it. Course, maybe he’s just old and slow like me.

  13. Heisey just needs to get the run in from third and avoid a double play.

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