2010 Reds / RN Radio

Redleg Nation Radio #50: How did we get here, and how can the Reds stay in the race?

We’re back, and better than ever. After a short break (explanation provided at the top of the show), Redleg Nation Radio takes a look at where the Reds are now, and how they got there. Bill and I also discuss what the Reds need to do to stay competitive in the National League Central division. Plus, a first-hand look at AAA and we say good-bye to Ken Griffey, Jr.

You can listen with the player at the bottom of this post or right-click here to download the mp3 file to listen at your leisure. For links to all previous episodes of Redleg Nation Radio, check out the podcast’s home page.

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[audio:http://www.archive.org/download/Rnr50HowDidWeGetHereAndHowCanTheRedsStayInTheRace/RedlegNationRadioEpisode50.mp3%5D

10 thoughts on “Redleg Nation Radio #50: How did we get here, and how can the Reds stay in the race?

  1. Good work on the podcast guys.

    One question though: Why does everyone seem to think the Reds have good pitching? Sure, Leake’s been awesome but the Reds currently rank 21st in team ERA and 22nd in opponent’s batting average against (and they are 21st in opponent’s OPS).

    What makes this Reds team that much different than previous Reds’ teams that were basically in the same position at this point in the season but ended up tanking?

    To answer my own question, I’d say the pitching has the most potential to improve – and that’s what has me excited about the Reds’ chances. And before we forget, while the Reds have the third best team batting average in the big leagues, who is second?

    Answer: The Royals – the 24-34 Royals that is…more proof that hitting alone won’t get it done come playoff time.

    • One question though: Why does everyone seem to think the Reds have good pitching? Sure, Leake’s been awesome but the Reds currently rank 21st in team ERA and 22nd in opponent’s batting average against (and they are 21st in opponent’s OPS).

      good question

      The rotation ranks 21st in baseball by SNLVAR
      The bullpen ranks 19th by WXRL
      The pitching overall ranks 18th in xFIP

      The defense ranks 22nd by defensive efficiency and 11th in UZR
      The offense ranks 2nd in baseball (!!!) by TAv behind only the Yanks and ever so slightly ahead of the Brew Crew

      I think we have OK pitching but can understand why someone could think it’s OK. Basically because any of the 5 starters can have a great game. As in we don’t have any duds in the rotation. Or better put our best isn’t as good as others bests but our worst is MUCH better than most other teams worst.

      I still think, a more important addition to the club than even a reliever would be some defense with pop on the left side of the diamond.

      I think everyone has seen Gomes horrible plays this week but he’s been horrible on defense ALL year. Currently he’s the 2nd worst defensive regular LF ahead of only Braun. And then there is Cabrera, Negative when compared to other SS on both offense and defense, though his defense has improved lately he’s just below average.

      Here is a great way to put it. His offensive runs based on wOBA is 5.5 and his defensive runs based on UZR is -5.6.

      • good question The rotation ranks 21st in baseball by SNLVARThe bullpen ranks 19th by WXRLThe pitching overall ranks 18th in xFIP

        I don’t think we said the pitching was good (did we?), I think we said the starting pitching has been good and it has after a bad start. I don’t have the numbers, but remember in May the starting pitching’s numbers was very good.

        And I thought we made it clear we had strong reservations about the bullpen…

    • What makes this Reds team that much different than previous Reds’ teams that were basically in the same position at this point in the season but ended up tanking?

      another great question

      my thought on it is that the other Reds teams in recent years that were in a similar position as the Reds this year didn’t have the pitching we have now. Look at the rotations of those other teams. It was bad. While the pitching this year isn’t great it’s better than those other teams.

    • What makes this Reds team that much different than previous Reds’ teams that were basically in the same position at this point in the season but ended up tanking?

      I think this team is more balanced and, at least pitching wise, has more depth (I believe there are starters at AAA and on the DL that can/will help this team before the season is over). I also believe that young players like Votto, Bruce, Stubbs, etc are hitting their stride and will get better. Offensively, this team cannot handle an injury to Votto, Bruce, Phillips, or Rolen, IMO. there is no offensive depth.

  2. Relative to Haynes/Milton etc this rotation is pretty good.

    The key is depth at Louisville. LeCure has exceeded at least my expectations. Owings is still capable of spot starting.

    I think that CoCo will turn it around. I don’t think it will be immediate, however. My guess is that by the end of June he will be lights out again. I just believe that he’s been here before and knows how to right the ship.

    I think Masset will always be spotty, having moments of brilliance mixed in with moments of….not brilliance.

    This team certainly does fight.

    We really need to defensively replace Gomes/Cabrera late.

    Finally, it’s a long season and St. Louis is not that deep either. We can hold in against those guys. If their rotation is healthy at the end of the season, however, they will be trouble.

    • Finally, it’s a long season and St. Louis is not that deep either

      Amen. St Louis has no hitting depth (they just signed Aaron Miles) and a shakey bullpen as well. Their top end of the rotation is lights out and is what will keep them in it, but they are just one key injury away from irrelevance.

  3. Two reasons, Rolen and Leake. 3B has been a question mark for 2 decades in Cincinnati (don’t give me Aaron Boone). Also, when was the last time the Reds had a legit right handed power hitter? (Answer: Greg Vaughn, 1999. How many games did Cincy win that year?) Mike Leake has quietly been one of the NL’s top 10 pitchers so far. He has surpassed everyone’s, including the Reds’, expectations.

    I don’t think Leake can keep this up over an entire year, plus he’s never pitched anything close to ~200 innings in a season. Relying on him, LeCure, or potentially Chapman as your top starters is dangerous. Rolen should be able to remain very productive provided he doesn’t get hurt. If the Reds are to stay in the hunt come Sept, they MUST get more consistency from Stubbs and Bruce at the plate. Other members of the pitching staff are also going to have to start stepping up (read: Harang, Cordero, Masset, and Bailey when he’s healthy).

  4. The thing that seems to mask the inequities of the staff is the incomparable potential.

    What would happen if great stretches of pitching by Bailey, Cueto, Arroyo, and Leake coincide? Each pitcher has had 10-game stretches of greatness in the recent past. If they put those up at the same time later this season, the Reds could win the division running away. This is without even considering a resurgence by Harang or a stellar comeback by Volquez.

    The pitching may not be good yet, but there is no doubt that the potential for greatness is there.

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