Adam Dunn is now on pace for 41 homers and 104 RBI. All of his relevant statistics are above his career averages, except that he has reduced his strikeout totals and is playing a bit better defense than usual. Dunn has hit homers in the clutch – to win games – and he’s also hit sacrifice flies, taken the ball the opposite way, and hit behind runners to advance them a base (in other words, all the things the mouth-breathers on talk radio have been clamoring for).

Dunn leads the Reds in home runs, RBI, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. I don’t know what else his critics can ask for. Dunn is who he is; the things he does well, he does very well.

Here at Redleg Nation, we have always been huge supporters of Adam Dunn, and none of that changed when he started off the season slowly. Dunn is the best offensive player in the Reds arsenal, and there’s no way they will be able to replace 40 homer/100 RBI production if the Reds trade the big guy.

We’ve always been astounded by how Cincinnati fans can be so critical of one of the greatest sluggers in Reds history. Sure, he has shortcomings, but so does every major league player (with the possible exception of Edinson Volquez). But he is so good at what he does, Dunn should be getting praised from all corners, instead of hammered daily by idiot radio talk show hosts and the moronic callers to those same shows.

GM Walt Jocketty needs to re-sign Adam Dunn now. If the Reds let Dunn walk, they will regret it for years to come.

Here’s a plan: sign Adam Dunn to a long-term contract, FREE JAY BRUCE!!!, and let the starting rotation continue to develop and get better. Very soon, the Reds will be very good, for a very long time.

33 Responses

  1. rob

    One thing I have noticed about Dunn’s defense, which is good, is the use of BOTH hands to catch a flyball. Dunn has his flaws but as far as I’m concerned the glass is half full with his contributions.

    Now if Patterson will stop trying to steal third with him batting……

  2. Bill

    And we’ve been saying to re-sign him for over a year now…yet the Reds continue to say that they’re not holding talks…this is insane.

  3. Scott

    I agree that the current version of Adam Dunn (last few weeks) is a very valuable player. The problem is, as you say, he HAS to do the things he does well, VERY well in order to have value. His defense is still atrocious at an easy defense position and his baserunning sucks. His OBP is always there but in order for him to be worth it, he has to mash. If he isn’t slugging (like he wasn’t early on) his value drops significantly. The important thing to consider is guys with his skill set don’t age well and I’m not saying they shouldn’t resign him but it’s not a slam dunk. It depends on the money and years.

  4. Marty the Cynic

    Please don’t re-sign Adam Dunn. Why are you happy sticking in this damn rut that the Reds have been in since 2000?

    Dunn isn’t the answer to our problems, and we don’t need him bogging us down for another 5 to 8 years.

  5. Bill

    So…by this thinking…they shouldn’t have re-signed Harang? Is he part of the problem also? Dunn’s been the Reds most consistent offensive player the past few years and has put up offensive numbers that no one in the history of the club has achieved.

    And yes, he struggled the first month and a half…, but he’s still only 27 and should be entering his prime.

    If you don’t re-sign him, where do you replace his offense?

  6. Brian

    I don’t mind Adam Dunn and think that they will sign him and I actually feel that the front office has always wanted him to sign a long term deal I remember Costellini jumping on a question about his option saying he wants Dunn around long term (I think it was at the Baker press conference) and Baker also said he would not have signed had he thought they planned to deal both Griffey and Dunn. I also don’t think the Reds can afford to lose both Griffey and Dunn eventhough they both got off to slow starts. Those who want both Griffey and Dunn gone to start over be careful what you wish for cause if they don’t get outfielders in return we would be looking at a possible outfield of Patterson, Freel and Bruce. I like Bruce but would like Bruce, Dunn and someone else because if they get rid of one I’d rather it be a 38 year old and I love Jr but think its time to move on in RF.

  7. John of Muncie

    If you lead a team in OBP and SLG, do you not by default lead the team in OPS? Just saying.

  8. John of Muncie

    Um…Marty…Dunn wasn’t here in 2000. That was Dante Bichette.

  9. justcorbly

    If not for Dunn, the Reds would have several more games in the L column. Who would want that?

    Is he the perfect player? No. No one is. But, trade him and you lose those 40 homers and 100 RBI’s and the other offensive production. No one who might be acquired in a Dunn trade could make up for the loss of his offense. I.e., the team would lose even more games without Dunn.

    The only defensible reason not to resign Dunn is financial. If the team simply cannot afford to pay him, then they should trade him. But, be aware that would be an acknowledgement that the Reds cannot afford to compete, period: If you can’t pay your offensive leader what he’s worth, you’re gonna play .400 ball forever.

    The anti-Dunn crowd needs to understand that the presence or absence of no single player will turn the Reds into winners.

  10. doug

    I am all for giving Adam Dunn his due…. but I want nothing to do with resigning him unless he wants to play first base, and he doesn’t. He is going to want 15-17 million a year and likely be the 8-10th best left fielder in baseball over that time. That simply isn’t worth it. Justin had a good article on Dunn’s value over the next few years that lays it out pretty well:

    http://jinaz-reds.blogspot.com/2008/05/should-reds-sign-dunn-to-extension.html

  11. Kerm

    The idea behind mouthbreathers cracks me up

  12. Kerm

    as in the term is funny not to call anyone names

  13. Ron

    Dunn is a $7-8M per year player, based on production, who is make $13M and is going to command more than he is worth next year. At that salary range, Adam should be putting up Pujols-esque numbers. And yes, Albert makes $13-14M. Adam cant carry a team for a full season … he is only able to do it for short hot stretches. That is the difference between a legit $13M player and one who is getting overpaid base on potential. I would be ok with Adam at $7-8M contract over 3-4 years … but we all know he probably wont accept a deal like that … which makes him unaffordable for a small market team. I like Adam … but not enough to offer him that kind of money.

  14. justcorbly

    The best solution to the problem of Dunn’s salary is to trade Griffey and apply his salary to Dunn. Griffey’s career is near its conclusion, and Dunn’s hasn’t peaked yet. (How many believe Griffey would come back next year, with any team, after a season-ending injury this year?)

    I can understand the angst about signing Dunn for $13-$14 million, but almost all players are overpayed.

    Remember, also, the fact that the Reds haven’t won with Dunn says a lot more about the rest of the team than it does Dunn.

  15. Lefty

    The key is FREE Jay Bruce. Put him in Center and let him lead-off. “But, Jay Bruce is not a lead-off hitter?” Neither is Josh Hamilton, and he did pretty ok in that role last year. “But, Jay Bruce is not a centerfielder.” Most scouts believed this kid has greater upside than the real life Roy Hobbs. He can play center.

    Most importantly, you sub with Bruce for Patterson, one of your worst OPS guys, for someone who projects to be one of your best OPS guys. That can be a huge difference for the offense. What happens is that everyone (with the exception of Dunn probably) moves down on the OPS ladder. See what happended picking up Cordero in the bullpen: Get one really good reliever and sub out your worst reliever and all of the sudden things don’t look so bad.

    Bruce should have been here two months ago. As Marvin Lewis would say, “Now.”

  16. Lefty

    Also, two months ago, but Griffey should be hitting 7th.

  17. doug

    Griffey’s money doesn’t cover Dunn because everyone on the team gets a raise. Phillips, Votto, Edwin, Arroyo, Harang… they all get raises next year and Arroyo and Harang get big raises. Its not like we can just take Griffey’s 8 million (which is what the Reds are paying him this year because of deferred money) and apply it to a raise for Dunn. Lets also note that Dunn isn’t going to sign for 13-14 million a year, thats what he is making this year.

  18. preach

    Everyone in the organization says that Bruce will be playing corner outfield. That seems pretty definate. That either means that he will not be up until the end of the season, not likely, or one of the corners will somehow free up. If it’s not an injury situation then it will probably be Dunn’s spot. Griffey is 38, an injury risk, and contractually limits the trading partners the Reds may use. It would not suprise me to see Dunn moved with some spare parts going both directions for a good CF’er soon.

  19. Andrew

    Dunn is easily my favorite Red. We should try to resign him at a fair price. We can’t afford to overpay him. We already screwed the pooch once with the Cordero contract. Small market teams can’t afford to make long-term mistakes like that. If Dunn leaves, we need to use that money on an elite LF, then hope that a full season of Votto at 1B and Bruce in RF can help come close to making up Dunn’s offense. The elite LF will make up Dunn’s loss, by helping us gain 10-15 runs there, when Dunn is usually a -10 or so fielder.

    The idea is to make the entire team better, not just try to replace Dunn’s production with 1 guy. If Dunn leaves, the easiest way to make up his production would be to improve the defense. That is the low hanging fruit, because we’ll never find a 40-100-100 guy to replace Dunn with.

  20. Andrew

    When I say elite LF, I mean elite defensive LF.

    We wouldn’t be able to afford an elite offensive LF (nor should we go after one)

  21. preach

    good points, Andrew. Although I liked the Cordero signing, I agree with pretty much everything else you said. Improve the D and you don’t need as much O. While it would hurt our defense for a while, what about moving Jr back to CF and installing Bruce in right for a month or so to get him the AB’s until a deal or trade is worked out?

  22. Glenn

    One of the things I like best about Dunn is his composure. He had an awful start to this season, but he kept his head and has certainly turned things around in a big way. I think its important to also note that while he was going bad, he wasn’t surley or rude to the media and fans as so many other players have been in the past. Dunn looks like a solid, good guy to me. I wish he didn’t strike out so much, but 41 and 104 look darn good to me.

  23. Relient k Car

    preach
    u just said improve the D
    putting griff in center would hurt the D

    and u cant blame losing on dunn or griffey
    its a team thing

  24. Andrew

    I think preach meant just this season. If we feel this season is a lost cause, it might not be a bad idea to let JB get some ABs this season to be ready for next year.

    That said, I think it’d be better to trade Griffey for anything at all and then bring up JB.

  25. Y-City Jim

    How can Dunn put up Pujols type numbers unless the Reds have Cardinal-type top of the order hitters?

  26. preach

    So then I guess you are in favor of moving both Dunn and Jr? That’s a lot of production especially from the left side. But I see the point. I am just sick of having this discussion one more time before Memorial Day. We should be to the point of having to add a couple of parts and pieces, not tearing up and starting over. And while I have a lot of confidence in JB, he still will be on a learning curve. Maybe we could trade Jr for something and stretch our budget to resign Dunn. Still doesn’t address our biggest defensive needs, but it would keep our production in tact and maybe we could luck up on a CF in the offseason.

  27. Dave from Louisville

    What would Billy Beane do?

    Dunn is a good player, but he is getting unaffordable for a small market team. Trade him, let him go, or sign him a 13mil per for 3. Otherwise the last year or two of Dunn’s next contract are going to suck for whoever is writing that check.

    The key not if you trade him, its what you get in return.

    I think its funny that the same people that want to sign Dunn are the same people that freaked when Hamilton was traded.

  28. ron

    Come on man, are you trying to tell me that Dunn would produce at Pujols level with equal players in front of him? You cant sell that arguement to me hands down. Pujols is an elite hitter and has carried his team for several seasons, without him, the Cards mediocre… period. Dunn is a short term, streak hitter that will disapear for long stretches … trying to even put Dunn in his class is a waste of your time to post it. Pujols worst season when he was having injury problems was still better than Dunn’s best. Even when our offense was at its best and scoring alot of runs a couple of years ago, Dunn never came close to Pujols’ production … and never will. Plain and simple, Dunn is not a $14M per year player based on his production.

  29. Mike

    My issue with letting him go is how do we spend that $21 million next year? (Dunn & Griffs contracts) If both are gone we are starting over in the outfield with only JB to fill in. Will we actually invest the money in a worthwhile piece or two or will we overspend (CoCo) or throw it away (Patterson)? No matter how you slice it it’s hard to replace a consistent 40/100 and if he is hitting 7th he isn’t forced to be THE guy that carries a team.

  30. Legend

    Trading 2 players is hardly “tearing up and starting over.”

    Keeping Dunn would be great if our payroll was going to be 85-90 million next year but it won’t be.

  31. TD

    Come on, it’s stupid to consider Pujols a true $14 million per year player. If you’re going to try to play that game, I could easily point out that Jason Giambi makes more than $20 million per year, and Dunn’s numbers dwarfs Giambi’s. So by your logic, I guess Dunner deserves $25 million per year.

  32. Andrew

    CoCo Crisp would be just the kind of guy we should target. His contract isn’t bad (3 yrs/$15.5M with a club option for $10 M in 2010), and he’s one of the top defensive outfielders in the league. We’d have to hope Votto and Bruce would help offset the loss of Dunn’s bat, but CoCo’s glove would be worth a lot of runs in the outfield. We could shift EE to left field, where he’d almost have to be better than Dunn defensively, and we could use the remaining dollars on a 3B (or just let Kepp play it). That frees up a lot of money to use to try to resign Volquez, Votto, Bruce, and Cueto to club-friendly contracts long-term contracts, buying out arb years as necessary.