07/03/2007

Down on the Farm

Let’s take a stroll Down on the Farm…

Louisville 1, Indianapolis 0 (AAA)

Bobby Livingston and Jared Burton combined on a five-hit shutout. Livingston, who is only 24 years old, threw 7 innings, giving up only four hits. On the season, Livingston is now 3-4 with a 3.55 ERA. After looking at Livingston’s minor league numbers, I’m starting to wonder if this guy might not be a decent fourth starter in the majors someday.

The 26 year old Burton, meanwhile, tossed two scoreless innings, giving up only a single hit while picking up the win. He has now pitched in nine games for Louisville on his rehab assignment, and has posted a sterling 0.75 ERA. Expect to see Jared Burton in a Reds uniform again soon.

— The only run of the game scored on a homer by 1B Jesse Gutierrez. Gutierrez is 29 years old and his AAA OPS is only 656, so his chances of contributing to the big club are not good.

— The only other offensive contributions of note were from AAA All-Star Jeff “Why give Juan Castro a multi-year contract when you have me in AAA?” Keppinger — 3 for 4 at the plate — and recently-promoted catcher Ryan Hanigan (26 y/o), who went 2-4 with a double.

Carolina 10, Chattanooga 5 (AA)

— Not much here to be excited about. Twenty year old uber-prospect Jay Bruce did hit his fourth homer in AA. Bruce is amused by the simplicity of this game. He has a combined minor league OPS near 1000 this year.

— 24 year old Adam Rosales scored a couple of runs, and legged out a triple. Have we ever determined why they moved Rosales to 1B?

Dunedin 7, Sarasota 5 (A+)

— SS Eric Eymann, a 23 year old out of Kansas State University, went 3-4 with a double, 2 RBI, and 2 runs scored. He’s hitting .260/.286/.413 on the season.

–23 year old CF Gerardo Cabrera went 2-4 with a double and an RBI. Cabrera is hitting .214/.421/.286 in five games since his promotion from Dayton.

— Aaron Harang’s little brother continued his fine work for Dunedin, though he seems a little old for this level.

Dayton 9, Fort Wayne 5 (A)

— SS Chris Valaika hit his tenth homer. Promote this kid already!

— 3B Juan Francisco, who just turned 20 last week, was 3-4 with a double and an RBI. This kid looks more and more like a blue-chipper every day. Francisco now has 13 homers and 52 RBI on the season.

— Last year’s number one pick, 22 year old Drew Stubbs, had a good game, going 3-5 with an RBI and a BB. On the season, Stubbs isn’t performing like a number one pick: .245/.340/.350. That’s right, folks, his OPS is under 700.

Stubbs is still young enough to turn things around, but this is looking like a wasted pick so far.

— LF Chris Heisey, 22 years old, went 2-5 with his 5th homer, a three-run shot to put the game out of reach. Heisey is at .293/.341/.433 on the season.

Missoula 13, Billings 10 (Rookie)

— Slugfest in the Pioneer League tonight. As you may expect, no pitchers made the DOTF cut today. 22 year old LF Kyle Maunus, out of Western Michigan, was the hitting star for the ‘Stangs, going 2-4 with 2 HR.

— SS Angel Cabrera, a 21 y/o out of Connors State College, added a homer and 3 RBI.

GCL Orioles 5, GCL Reds 4 (Rookie)

— SS Neftali Soto went 3-5 with a 3B, an RBI, and 2 runs scored. The 18 year old is now hitting .456/.489/.667. Not a bad start to his professional career.

Blame Chad for creating this mess.

Chad launched Redleg Nation in February 2005, and has been writing about the Reds ever since. His first book, “The Big 50: The Men and Moments That Made the Cincinnati Reds” is now available in bookstores and online, at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and wherever fine books are sold. You can also find Chad’s musings about the Cincinnati Reds in the pages of Cincinnati Magazine.

You can email Chad at chaddotson@redlegnation.com.

Join the conversation! 15 Comments

  1. In the second half of the season last year Jay Bruce went into a long slump; is he a wasted pick like Stubbs?

  2. Are you calling Drew Stubbs professional performance a slump?

    Bruce had a bad 60 at-bats in August last year. He was pretty good before that and has been pretty good since.

  3. Stubbs will be a decent OF; I think it is a little premature to stamp him as a wasted draft pick

  4. You may be right, and I hope you are right. So far, though, it doesn’t seem to be headed in the right direction.

  5. Valaika and Francisco need to even out their K/BB ratios. Both have around 80 Ks this season in 300 ABs. It always concerns me a bit when a hitter doesn’t have that discipline from the get go, but a few learn it along the way. But yeah, they both should be promoted.

  6. It wouldn’t surprise me if Adam Rosales turned out to be the 1bman of the future. I think he is certainly going to get every opportunity to prove himself.

  7. I really like Valaika and think he should be in Sarasota at least; Francisco does have some work to do but he is a true power hitter and we all know the tendacies of those guys to strike out more than average

  8. There is no comparison between Bruce and Stubbs, whatsoever. None.

    I stayed that it is looking like a wasted pick “so far.” Are you disputing that? If so, what exactly has Stubbs done to justify that opinion?

    I hope Stubbs turns into a MLB all star. All I’ve said is that the early returns are not encouraging.

  9. I hope Stubbs turns into a MLB all star. All I’ve said is that the early returns are not encouraging.

    Stubb’s ML ceiling is a 4th OF/defensive replacement at best. At some point that may be valuable to somebody, but I think it’s more likely he turns into minor-league roster filler. I agree with Chad.

  10. Jay Bruce slumped last year after he hurt his shoulder diving for a ball in CF in a blow out win…if memory serves, he didn’t even play much the last 3 weeks of the season as the Dragons were trying to squeak into the playoffs with very little offense.

  11. Matt…. did you really just say that?

    Jay Bruce is 1 more hit falling in in AA from hitting .298. He is one of the top 5-10 prospects in baseball.

    Also, last season Jay had a 3 week long slump in August. Before he hurt his shoulder he was hitting .313 and slugging .550.

  12. Stubbs will rebound nicely I think. Bruce is going to be a good player just like Stubbs will. Every player I think has had a bad set of 60-75 at bats.

  13. Justin, I’m curious what you see in Stubbs’ first (approx.) 1 year of professional baseball that makes you believe he’s ever going to be worthy of the #1 draft pick he received?

    His OPS last year was .768 at Billings in what must have been an offensive league (4 other players on his team topped .900). Nothing to write home about.
    This year it’s sitting at .700 and is 5th on the team and his slugging percentage of .332 is horrible. He’s gotten worse, not better. Bruce improved tremendously between rookie ball and A ball and he didn’t have 3 years in a major college program under his belt.
    I hope you’re right and he does become the player that you and MattW think he’ll be, but right now, he looks like a lot of wasted money to me.

  14. Boy, that Chad has some power…he says it and the Dragons do it. Valaika has been promoted to Sarasota.

  15. Since some folks were comparing Bruce and Stubbs…

    Bruce:

    GCL 37 G .815 OPS
    Billings 17 G .831
    Dayton 117 G .871
    Sarasota 67 G .965
    Chattanooga 11 G .929

    Stubbs:

    Billings 56 G .768
    Dayton 75 G .700

Comments are closed.

About Chad Dotson

Blame Chad for creating this mess. Chad launched Redleg Nation in February 2005, and has been writing about the Reds ever since. His first book, "The Big 50: The Men and Moments That Made the Cincinnati Reds" is now available in bookstores and online, at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and wherever fine books are sold. You can also find Chad's musings about the Cincinnati Reds in the pages of Cincinnati Magazine. You can email Chad at chaddotson@redlegnation.com.

Category

2007 Reds, Minors, Reds - General