The Reds select 15th in Thursday’s First-Year Player Draft, and there has been little speculation as to whom the Reds might select. We’ll explore that question for the next few days.

In the meantime, over at John Sickels’ Minor League Ball blog, they’ve conducted a mock draft. In the first round, they have the Reds selecting Matt Dominguez, high school 3B from California; Nick Hagadone, a LHP from the University of Washington is the Reds’ pick in the supplemental round.

I’m really looking forward to Thursday. These drafts show us a lot about the General Manager, and his point of view (in terms of what he deems important). We’ll gain a few more data points on that question in a few days.

16 Responses

  1. Shawn

    Keith Law says the Reds have focused on a Texas high-school infielder, Kevin Ahrens. Law also only rates Ahrens 53rd on his list of draft prospects. I’d like to see the Reds focus on a catcher, and Matt Wieters of Georgia Tech is the best available. He also might fall to the Reds’ because he is a Scott Boras client who will ask for the moon. I say bite the bullet and pay the money. Failing that, there are some other catchers who could be good picks for the sandwich round. For local guys, P Connor Graham of Miami of Ohio could be a good choice for a second-round pick.

  2. Phil Rizzuto Parmesan

    These drafts show us a lot about the General Manager, and his point of view (in terms of what he deems important). We’ll gain a few more data points on that question in a few days.

    Agreed. Any organization in the Red’s economic position has to put player development as its top priority. It is the most dependable way to funnel talent to the big league club and, more importantly, control that talent through the peak years.

    If Krivsky sees the draft and its role in development as vitally important, as I believe he should, he’s failed to communicate that to the fan base. The draft is a better expenditure of funds, Boras and slot money considered, than throwing away millions on the likes of Juan Castro, Alex Gonzalez and Eric Milton (and yes, I know Uncle Milty was Dan O’s).

  3. Chris

    I’m purely a “best player available” guy, especially in the early rounds. There’s virtually no chance that this year’s draftee is going to contribute for 3-5 years, so there’s no need to draft based on “need” at the major league level.

    An article on Dominguez.

    And another.

  4. Chris

    Sounds like he’s not even the best player on his own team – although that team is flat-out loaded.

    You have to wonder how much (not even “if,” really) their power numbers are inflated.

  5. Phil Rizzuto Parmesan

    This is a link to KC sportswriter’s Joe Posnanski’s latest column. I’m linking because JoePo is the best young writer in the business, and because it has some relevant commentary on firing managers, the draft, shuffling line-ups and letting the kids play – all things Reds’ fans can relate to.

    And just to continue mt fanboy adulation for Joe, The Soul of Baseball is both Joe’s blog and the title of his latest book about his travels around America with the late Buck O’Neil. If you are a baseball fan, you owe it to yourself to read both the blog and the book. The blog link ought to be in the sidebar.

    Sorry to be kinda OT, but I I couldn’t think of where else to put it and the draft comments do make it somewhat relevant here.

  6. Matt B.

    I wish I could give a first-hand account on Hagadone. Unfortunately, when the Huskies played Gonzaga, it was the day before Pac-10 play, and the Huskies wanted to rest their players so Hagadone didn’t pitch.

    What makes me scratch my head is the selection of a 3B. What’s wrong with Encarnacion? I know Narron doesn’t like him, but Narron probably won’t be around much longer. The team needs pitching, pitching, and more pitching.

  7. Tom

    Here is rundown of the Red’s picks through the first five rounds from Baseball America:

    Reds Draft Picks

    Rnd Pos
    1 15
    Sup 34 Aurilia
    Sup 53 Schoeneweis
    2 79
    3 104 Aurilia
    3 109
    4 139
    5 169

    Who’d have thought that Schoeneweis would have been worth a supplemental round pick.

    I’m with Chris, you can’t draft for need, you have to take the best players available. I look forward to seeing who we get and then watching how they perform for Billings and the GCL Reds.

  8. Phil Rizzuto Parmesan

    What makes me scratch my head is the selection of a 3B. What’s wrong with Encarnacion?

    Nothing, but if EdE continues to improve, what makes you think we can keep him past his arb-eligible years? Besides, we need tradeable commodities at both the ML and MiL level.

    The team needs pitching, pitching, and more pitching.

    The team needs everything. The just-posted link to JinAZ may evaluation lays a good bit of the blame on our defense. MGL’s just posted updated UZR really shows how bad our outfield is – and it’s not just Dunn and Junior . Both Hamilton and Freel are -6 runs in center. (Hamilton and Freel are near league average in RF.) We are going to have to figure out how to offensive firepower and at least league-average defense in the OF or it won’t matter if we are starting Walter Johnson in his prime. (No, this is not an anti-Adam screed. But it sure is time to move Junior. And we better hope Hopper continues to hit ‘cuz he’s our best outfield glove.)

    Long way ’round the barn to say we should draft the best athletes and use them to our best advantage whether that’s eventually with the big club or as part of a trade package.

  9. Shawn

    Law also rates Wieters as the best prospect available in the draft, so it’s not just about drafting for position. That can be a fool’s game, because a lot of guys change positions in the minors. Hey, Bob Horner was a college second baseman, for cryin’ out loud!

  10. Matt

    yep, this isn’t football. Drafting for a need in 2007 for a player that won’t be at the ML level until 2010 or 2011 is almost impossible.

  11. Matt

    4 picks in the 1st 79 is freakin’ awesome.

    Last years first 3 picks got us Stubbs, Watson, and Valaika. for me the jury is still out on Stubbs, but Watson and Valaika are studs.

  12. GregD

    Ditto on the “draft best available” philosophy. Though, I hope it doesn’t take the early round college draftees 3-5 years to contribute at the ML level.

    Adam Rosales is a good example of someone within the Reds farm system who had to change position. Votto was originally a catcher, wasn’t he? So, regardless of position, you have to draft that guys who you can project to have the best chances of hitting or pitching at the major league level. If you end up with multiple players at a given position…well, that’s a problem that would be nice for the Reds to finally have. You either change position of one of the players or you do like the Phillies and trade Thome to open up the major league spot.

  13. Chad

    The Schoeneweis acquisition may be the best thing Krivsky has done. It’s the gift that keeps on giving.

  14. Phil Rizzuto Parmesan

    Keith Law has an article up at ESPN.con (behind the Insider wall) about the “Moneyball” draft of 2002. That’s the year the Reds picked third and took Chris Gruler, who showed his gratitude at being chosen No 1 by immediately blowing out his arm.

    Taken after the Reds’ picked in the first round were Prince Fielder, Scott Kazmir, Cole Hamels, Nick Swisher, Joe Blanton and Matt Cain. It’s enough to make the Baby Jesus weep.

  15. Phil Rizzuto Parmesan

    In all fairness, both Joey Votto and Chris Denorfia came out of that 2002 draft. So if McBeth pans out, it will still be pretty good.