This is an extension of my “Enlighten Me!!” Post. Someone mentioned that they would rather have Cabrera or Ortiz than Dunn right now despite Dunn having a higher OPS. My question would be why? cause he has a higher BA? More RBI?
Cabrera has 45 RBI Dunn has 37. Cabrera’s OPS is .933 and Dunn’s is .963. Cabrera’s batting average is .333, Dunn’s is .247.
So why does Cabrera have 45 RBI and Dunn have only 37. Common sense says batting average. I think the real answer is in Dave Miley’s lineup.
Dunn has 116
ABS PAs with runners on base, Cabrera has 142. So in 26 more ABS PAs with runners on base Cabrera has 8 more RBI, despite almost 100 points in batting average.
Dunn and Cabrera are clearly producing at almost exactly the same rate, despite cabrera hitting 100 points better in BA. Dunn is slightly better, but not by much. Batting order account more for Dunn’s RBI total than his ability.
Ortiz has 141 PA with Runners on. He is also outhitting Dunn by about 50 points of batting average, yet trails Dunn .946/.963 in OPS.
So in 25 more PA, Ortiz has 20 more RBI. Clearly Ortiz has taken advantage of his opportunities, but he clearly gets more opportunities than Dunn does with Runners on.
Ortiz has been on base 112 times and scored 45. Cabrera has been on base 104 times and scored 45 times. Dunn has been on base 105 times and scored 46 times.
They are all essentially producing EXACTLY the same for their teams. The difference for Ortiz and Cabrera is their coach understands where the best hitter on the team belongs in the lineup.