13teamLatos Enter code "redlegnation" when ordering for $5 off!

The Nation on Twitter! Facebook!

How many games will the Reds win this season?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Categories

Archives

CHAMPS!

The Reds were trying to acquire Willy Taveras again

Not literally, but the 2013 version.

Reds’ GM Walt Jocketty revealed in an interview at Redsfest this weekend that the Reds were on the verge of trading for Ben Revere, a player who is hard to distinguish from Taveras.

Revere is a pure slap-hitter. In over 1000 plate appearances, he has only 33 extra-base hits, with [...]

Juan Pierre, no thanks. Shane Victorino, much better.

Buster Olney from ESPN tweeted last night that the Reds have shown interest in Phillies OF Juan Pierre. Ken Rosenthal of FOXSports reported last week that the Reds had kicked the tires on Phillies CF Shane Victorino. Presumably, the Reds primary interest in either player would be as a rental lead-off hitter. Neither player is [...]

On Dusty Baker

So Joe Sheehan — who I really like as a baseball writer — has written an article for Sports Illustrated extolling the virtues of Dusty Baker. Or not:

In his last seven seasons as a manager, Baker’s questionable personnel choices, including an abiding love for veterans, and his refusal to prioritize on-base percentage [...]

“Thou shalt not clog the bases,” declared the Dusty one!

It isn’t a difficult concept to understand: your leadoff hitter needs to get on base at a good clip so that the big bats behind him can drive him home. Well, take a look at this disaster:

Dusty Baker’s primary leadoff hitters: [table "23" not found /]

No, it isn’t difficult to understand, [...]

Hitters’ Decline Arc is Changing

Until recently, most studies had shown that a hitter’s peak seasons occurred between ages 25-29. However, in the past few years, some studies have indicated that peak may now occur between ages 26-30, which can have some free agent and player performance implications.

Teams have “control” over most players for only a certain period of the players’ careers. If a player hasn’t reached the majors within six years, the player can file for free agency. Once a player is added to a team’s 40-man roster, the team has three “option” years where a player can bounce to the minors and back to the major leagues. After three seasons, the player can’t be optioned to the minors without “clearing waivers” which means every other team in the majors has passed on the player (for various reasons–does not necessarily mean the player doesn’t have ability). Essentially, after four years on the 40-man roster, the player can file for arbitration (there are certain exceptions to this rule) and after six years on a major league roster, the player can file for free agency.

Well, there’s a method to this contractual madness. It’s possible for a team to control a player (to some extent) for twelve years, especially if they sign straight out of college. The six years in the minors allows a player to mature and reach the majors. If a player plays four years of college ball, the expectation is that the player will reach the majors more quickly than a player straight out of high school (college ball replacing the “lower minor leagues” in this case).

If you look back into history, the vast majority of star players reach the majors at a very early age. See below…

Continue reading Hitters’ Decline Arc is Changing

A final note on Willy Taveras

The Wee Willy Taveras era in Cincinnati is, mercifully, over. One of our loyal readers, however, pointed me to this post at FanGraphs that kinda sums up what we went through last year:

Willy Taveras is jobless. Not for too long, since the A’s will either lose him on waivers — not sure lose [...]

Willy Taveras, Walt Jocketty, and Dusty Baker

No, not exactly Willie, Mickey, and the Duke, is it?

John Fay brings up one of our favorite topics in response to a reader email:

Question from Steve: My question is about the Reds’ current view of Willy Taveras. Do you think they will let him come to spring training and try to win [...]