2014 Reds / Game Thread

Reds at Cardinals (April 9, 2014)

Are we done with St. Louis yet?

The optimist in me says the Reds are due for a win.  The pessimist in me says I don’t like our chances with the Cardinals offense and Mike Leake on the mound.  Let’s hope the optimist wins!

Reds Lineup:
1. Hamilton CF
2. Phillips 2B
3. Votto 1B
4. Bruce RF
5. Frazier 3B
6. Heisey LF
7. Mesoraco C
8. Santiago SS
9. Leake C

223 thoughts on “Reds at Cardinals (April 9, 2014)

  1. maybe some of you are just used to rooting for football or basketball? it seems weird to me to gripe so much when guys get out in baseball. it happens way more often than not, you get that right? it’s a zero-zero game, that means they are getting out as much as we are.

    • You know how Marty calls a pitcher’s duel “a good ol fashioned good one?” I guess you never really agreed with him.

  2. votto does have to get in front of that ball. i’ll never get why he tries to play so many balls to the side.

  3. single, stolen base with no throw, tag to third on a popup to left, tag to home on a popup to second.

  4. That’s three times on base for Hamilton today. We’ve all said it before…if Billy can get on base even at a .300 clip he will be incredibly valuable.

  5. Leake is doing a great job of weak grounders today. Only given up 3 hits, but also erased a couple of those with DPs.

  6. I assume most have seen Votto’s interview at Busch Stadium Tuesday dressed as a Canadian Mounted Policeman aka Dudley Do-Right. It was hilarious.

  7. Is it wrong that I feel better about Leake at the plate here than I did about Santiago?

  8. Interesting non-applicable stat of the day:

    Cozart’s wRC+ before this game started was -97. The next worst in the majors with at least 20PAs is Allen Craig at -45.

    Frazier, Pena, Bruce, Ludwick and Votto all above 100 (league average-ish).

  9. 1st and 3rd with no one out. Zero runs. There’s the Reds we’ve come to love the last couple of years.

    • Yes, sadly when the other team has that situation, I hope it’s limited to one run damage. With the Reds in that situation, I’m happy to walk away with a run sometimes.

  10. I just don’t get Leake bunting there. He smoked the ball in his first AB that Carpenter made a GG play on for the out. 1st and 3rd w one out, swing away. I would have rather seen Santiago bunt than Leake.

  11. I can’t get over Leake bunting in that situation either. Maybe if an RBI guy is coming up next….nope…nevermind. Even then I don’t get it when Leake is such a good hitter.

    • You guys should get familiar with Tom Tango’s Run Expectancy Tables. They’ll make you hate that bunting decision even more!

      http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html

      Basically, if the bunt were SUCCESSFUL, it would have reduced the chances of scoring a run from 65.2% to 28% and reduced the run expectancy of the remainder of the inning from 1.211 runs to 0.626 runs.

      That, of course, assumes Mike Leake is an “average MLB hitter,” which he isn’t, even if he’s good for a pitcher, so the numbers aren’t quite so stark, but still clearly would show bunting is stupid is just about every situation. (Bottom 9, tied with no outs being an obvious exception).

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