Do the Cincinnati Reds have a chance to do well in the postseason? Yes, because of the starting pitching.
Over the past seven days, the Reds faced the two best offenses in the National League, both postseason bound. Mat Latos and Homer Bailey each pitched two games and Bronson Arroyo, Mike Leake and Tony Cingrani threw the other three.
The ERA for the five starting pitchers in those seven games was 2.34. If you limit it to the four pitchers most likely to start in the postseason (exclude Cingrani’s start), the collective ERA drops to 2.21.
You’re probably wondering about the staff’s FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), since as we know, that’s a better measure of how the pitchers actually performed. The starters’ FIP this week was 3.11 and 2.93 without Cingrani.
The strikeout-to-walk (K/BB) ratio of the starting pitchers for the week was a dazzling 38/6, or 6.33 and without Cingrani, 31/3 a ridiculous 10.33. Homer Bailey had 17 strikeouts and one walk in his 14 innings.
If the Reds can win either the NL Central or the coin-flip play-in Wild Card game, their starting pitching gives them a legitimate shot in any series.