2012 Post-season / 2012 Reds

NLDS Prediction Poll

New poll over in the left sidebar. Predict what’s going to happen in the National League Division Series. The poll will close around the time the first pitch is thrown Saturday.

36 thoughts on “NLDS Prediction Poll

  1. What is wrong with you all? Sure the offense lagged but come on. This is still a Reds team with great defense and pitching. Not to mention over the course of the last few weeks the Reds only had seeding and personal pride to play for. They also did quite well in San Fran this year so I’m feeling confident against the Giants.

    Reds win in four.

    • What is wrong with you all? Sure the offense lagged but come on. This is still a Reds team with great defense and pitching. Not to mention over the course of the last few weeks the Reds only had seeding and personal pride to play for. They also did quite well in San Fran this year so I’m feeling confident against the Giants.

      Reds win in four.

      It isn’t I don’t want them to win, its just in short series like this you have to maximize everythiing. Not pitching first and possibly twice is down right foolish. Not pitching Homer on the road over at home is foolish. You can’t make bad moves like that and start a series on the road and put yourself in a good position to win.

    • What is wrong with you all? Sure the offense lagged but come on. This is still a Reds team with great defense and pitching. Not to mention over the course of the last few weeks the Reds only had seeding and personal pride to play for. They also did quite well in San Fran this year so I’m feeling confident against the Giants.

      Reds win in four.

      My issue is that when the numbers so clearly show that Matt Latos in this series should be getting starts in game 1 and if needed game 5 and isn’t and then you add in the unhome field advantage the Reds get stuck with and a somewhat lacking offence then picking the Giants is the answer.

  2. I see the optimists are out in force.

    An overrated Giants pitching staff vs an underachieving offense. Plus one of the best pitching staffs in the majors against that Giants offense.

    Come on.

    Reds in 4.

  3. Its pretty clear most of us are optimistic on the Reds winning in one way or another. Even Vegas is loving the Reds right now. I’m not sure why two dozen or so people are feeling so pessimistic about their chances. Yes, their offense has not been stellar. But I think that had more to do with players going for certain records because they had already guaranteed their spot in the playoffs. I feel like so often they were hitting for the fence when they should have been happy creating manufactured runs. But — when necessary – (ie Making sure they beat Carpenter).. the team pulled through with a win. And the teams they were playing in the last 4 series were there fighting hard trying to make it to the playoffs or maintain a winning season.

    I will not forget how amazing this team has been all year defeating so many odds that were against them to end with the #2 ranking in the MLB this year. I will continue to believe they will be great in the post season. They want it. They will succeed!

    So stop raining on the parade with the pessimism! And cheer and be happy!

  4. My bad, I thought this was a PRE DIC TION poll, a poll where you predict who you think will win. Now that I realize this is a YOU HAVE TO PICK THE REDS TO WIN thread l revise my pick and say Reds in 3 with 3 shutouts.

    Just because someone doesn’t make the pick you want to hear or read doesn’t make them a pessimist.

  5. The bats will awaken. Reds will win in four. Frazier will swim across the SF Bay just to show that the water is not really that cold.

  6. Cueto and Arroyo pitching in AT&T Park just has to makes them salivate with anticipation. I believe Cueto has matured past being over-amped as a pitcher in big games and Arroyo is just the consumate veteran. I expect a split at AT&T Park, unless the Reds bats come off life support, and I expect the Reds to win the first 2 games at GABP. I’m also looking forward to the two wildcard playin games tonight. Post season basebal in alive and kickin once again. GO REDS!!!

  7. I’d feel better if we scored more runs in Sept. than the Cubs and Astros but we didn’t. Offense has been asleep so maybe it’ll wake-up…maybe. Would feel better knowing Latos was going in Game 2. Maybe Arroyo will prove me wrong…maybe. Maybe the Reds will win…maybe.

  8. @LVW: I think predicting the negative possibility is the very definition of pessimism.

    Reds in 3. I was actually hoping to play the Giants in the NLDS.

  9. @Jared: Cue the pessimistic credo: I’m not being pessimistic, I’m being realistic. Of course it’s reasonable to think the Giants could beat the Reds… but it’s not very much fun. This should be fun.

    • Cue the pessimistic credo: I’m not being pessimistic, I’m being realistic.

      So if a sports analyst picks the Giants to win based on stats and trends they’re being pessimistic? Or is it only pessimism when a Reds fan picks the Giants to win?

      BTW: CBS sports writers are split — 3 pick the Reds and 3 pick the Giants. I didn’t realize CBS Sports had so many pessimists writing for them. :roll:

      If the Reds start hitting they can beat anybody. But when you look at the past 30 days that’s a pretty big IF. I hope and pray they can flip the switch and turn on the offense.

  10. It’s completely unrealistic to say that the Reds are even “likely” to lose. It’s just 5 games. Playing a vastly inferior team in baseball seems to increase your odds of winning by about 1%, so really, this is a crapshoot. Glad some of us can look forward and be happy.

    • It’s completely unrealistic to say that the Reds are even “likely” to lose. It’s just 5 games. Playing a vastly inferior team in baseball seems to increase your odds of winning by about 1%, so really, this is a crapshoot. Glad some of us can look forward and be happy.

      Are you saying the Giants are a vastly inferior team?

    • @RedZeppelin: https://www.google.com/search?q=define%3Apessimism

      Why are you being so defensive? Predicting what you don’t want to happen is pessimistic. Period.

      Considering that was my first post in this thread I don’t see how you can label me as being defensive. Label much?

      I just happen to disagree with your definition of pessimism. Predicting something based on facts is not pessimism. If weather data says atmospheric conditions are conducive to rain, it’s not pessimistic to say it won’t be sunny for your picnic. One can predict a negative outcome without being pessimistic and you’re obviously smart enough to know that.

      But to make you happy I’ll predict Reds win game one 15-3, game two 33-4, and game three 5-0. Optimism!!!

  11. The only advantage I see for the Reds is in the pen. San Fran offense is clearly better, starting pitching and defense a wash. San Fran in 4, Reds win the Latos start in Game 3.

  12. @RedZeppelin: You disagree with the dictionary definition of pessimism, not mine. And you’re unable to realistically evaluate your current position. And you’re unable to have a conversation without putting words in my mouth.

  13. @RedZeppelin: Nope, if you read my post, I acknowledged it’s perfectly reasonable to predict the Giants to win. Of course anybody is entitled to an opinion. I’m really only speaking from a position of fan on a Reds blog that it’s a lot more fun when people can give up pointing out all the negatives and outcomes that might happen and just role with it. I’m aware the Reds could get waxed, but I don’t see the harm in predicting otherwise. Most of the time people are simply trying to protect themselves from disappointment and then get to take in the good news as a surprise. Personally, I’ll be temporarily but not irreparably bummed if the Reds lose. But I’ll put in a good thought for them anyway.

    At this point, it’s all about positive energy:
    Doing the bull dance, feeling the flow. :D

    • At this point, it’s all about positive energy:
      Doing the bull dance, feeling the flow. :D

      Love the Happy Gilmore quote.

      Very interesting debate between Jared and RedZeppelin. I have to agree with RedZeppelin in that the definition posted for pessimism doesn’t jive with my understanding. To me, pessimism is choosing to believe a negative possibility when there is an equally good reason to believe a positive possibility. A Reds fan predicting the Giants to win in 3 seems pretty pessimistic to me. Saying the Reds will win in 3 seems pretty optimistic. Saying either will win in 5 is being level headed.

      • To me, pessimism is choosing to believe a negative possibility when there is an equally good reason to believe a positive possibility.

        Exactly! If the Bengals played against Lakota High, it wouldn’t be pessimism to predict a Bengals win (No Bengals jokes, please). It is possible to look at available data and trends and make a prediction without optimism or pessimism entering into it. Of course if you always choose the negative regardless of evidence then yes, that would be a “tendency to see the worst” and therefore definitely pessimist. It’s really not that difficult to see the distinction.

        Despite what one would think based on the criticism aimed at me I haven’t even made my prediction yet. Honestly I can’t begin to guess. This Reds team is talented enough to beat anyone. If the bats show up they could sweep. If not it could be ugly. I think on paper the Reds are the more talented team. It all comes down to whether they will play like they did in June or like they did in September.

        I like Matt’s positive energy. Let’s all do the Bull Dance and hope for the best.

  14. Anything is possible in a 5 game series, and I believe games 1 and 2 are extremelly important and “key” to whom wins the overall series. The Reds are coming off a 6 game road trip, traveling to Pitts then St. Louis now out to SF. This with US being the higher seed. We have to split at worse to have any chance to win the series, a Giant sweep of games 1-2 and this series is over in 3. We are NOT pitching our best pitching options in SF due to whatever reason/loyality of Dusty Baker. Our bats for whatever reason for the most part have been no where to be seen since August. Add all that up, playing at night in cooler temps I just can’t see this team overcoming all those hurdles to win this series, which is sad because I do believe overall they are the better team.

  15. Oops, I do like this definition: “A tendency to see the worst aspect of things or believe that the worst will happen; a lack of hope or confidence in the future.”

  16. Is it hedging too much to say I think the winner of the series will be the team that scores the most runs in game 5? Since the Reds would be last at bat if needed in such a scenario, I’ll go with them.

  17. I would feel more strongly about the Reds chances if either of their best two pitchers starters of late were scheduled to go in SanFran.

    Given Bailey’s home and road splits and the fact ATT is such a pitcher’s park, I don’t understand not using him there in game 2, particularly when they are holding back Latos for game 3 (which makes some sense in a worst case scenario plan).

  18. They are pitching our best pitcher in SF Cueto & if necessary he gets two starts. They shouldn’t and won’t pitch Latos on short rest. So if you pitch him 2nd or 3rd it doesn’t really matter.I would rather have Arroyo pitch in SF then GABP.

  19. My reference to Cards dumb luck in the postseason a few days ago proved to be spot on in yesterday’s game.

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