Loading ...The good news is that the Reds have actually played much better than their 14-18 record (going into Tuesday’s game). According to Prospectus’ adjusted standings, the Reds Pythagorean record (based on runs score vs. runs allowed) should be 17-15. Their second order Pythagorean projection (based on “equivalent runs” scored and allowed — based on the raw hitting/pitching lines) is 18-14. Their third order Pythagorean projection (the second order figure, adjusted for strength of schedule) is 17-15.
The bad news is that the only record that matters in the standings is 14-18. According to Joe Sheehan’s article today (subscription, I believe), “the one known way in which teams can outperform their projected record is by having a very good bullpen.” Or vicey-versey, as they say.
In the style of Dwigh Yoakam’s Intentional Heartache
The Red Blues
He drove south I-71 straight through all that construction
He didn’t use no damn map to find his way
He pulled off on a straight route just north of Lebanon
And took mostly country roads the rest of the way
He said I’ll give them an intentional heartache
That’ll hurt a lot worse than the one that they left in me
Would you all step back so a boy might could get started
Then they won’t have to look twiced to see
He drove up across the bridge into the stadium
Didn’t touch the breaks slammed right into Dunner’s Chevrolet
Tossed out his Reds cap, jersey, and signed Todd Coffey Poster
Then shot the whole mess blue with a can of DuPont spray
He said I’ll give them an intentional heartache
That’ll hurt a lot worse than the one that they left in me
Would you all step back so a boy might could get started
Then they won’t have to look twiced to see
He said I’ll give them an intentional heartache
That’ll hurt a lot worse than the one that they left in me
And tell Trader Wayne to step back so your depressed fan can get started
Then they won’t have to look twiced to see
He said watch this
Then he spayed that Reds cap blue the color of how he felt
He said watch this
Then he pulled that Jersey out, sprayed that blue too
He give it hell with that can of spray paint
Then he just kind of did a little hoochie coochie dance on top of that Todd Coffey poster
Security tried to call his brother
Said you better come get this boy
He said watch this
He ran Jerry Narron back up the ramp
He give em’ an intentional heartache all right
Tore up his season tickets
He said watch this here…