“Middle back tightness” is what I just heard from Steve Stewart. So Juan Mateo is replaced by Marmol, who was the guy who completely shut down the Reds a couple months ago.
The Cubs have just two pitchers who have thrown as many as 80 innings this year: Zambrano, who’s now injured, and Rich Hill, who owns a 5.34 ERA. That’s bad.
The Reds, by contrast, have 4 pitchers over 100 innings – Elizardo, Milton, league runner-up in innings Harang, and league-leader in innings Arroyo.
totally forgot about the day game today, just goes to show how much they’ve lost me. good to see arroyo continues to dominate, even if it is the lowly chubs.
I forgot about it too, al. Let’s just hope to end on a high note. At least now I don’t have to decide whether to watch it or my Sci-Fi shows….Yes, I’m one of those…
A nice performance by Arroyo today (8 ip, 4 hits, 3 bb, 7 k)
I don’t have the game on TV, nor did I bother listening to it on radio, so I’m not sure if Narron (aka, I don’t-want-to-win-so-I’ll-start-Hollandswothless-and-Wise-in-a-must-win-game) will take him out.
…sorry for the aside on Narron…but I can’t recall a Reds manager ever making me as mad as he does, on an almost daily basis!
Not watching the game. Is Wise in? I think that for the rest of the season, I’ll only watch if I can see Wise, LaRue, Clayton, and Hopper in the same game.
Arroyo done for the day. What a month he’s had so far. Probably won’t get his ERA below 3.00 again, but if the voters are paying attention, he’s pitched his way back onto the Cy Young ballot.
I was surprised to see the BP Postseason Odds report today. At the beginning of the Padres series the Reds had about a 12% postseason chance. At the end of the series it lists them at about half that, when I expected 1-2%.
Does it take schedule into account? Cubs for 7 and Pirates for three would improve their odds on paper. That Cubs team is almost completely unrecognizeable. Buck Coats? Les Walrond??
With 22 games to go (prior to the Pirates series), we said if they win each series 2-1 or 3-1, they’d go 15-7 and finish the season at 84 wins…so probably needed to sweep at least 1 team. The Padres series sets them back one, a 3-3 record after the first 6 games (4-3 after today’s win.) Going 6-1 vs the Cubs would allow the Reds to tease us a little longer.
I’m not saying it’s likely because they’ll need all of the other teams in front of them to not have a hot streak. But I could see where the odds would give the Reds a better chance than you would expect because of their schedule.
True – the Pirates & Cubs are legitimately poor teams, Florida has been (according to season run differential) a lucky team, and Houston is average at best (again, on paper). BP does simulate the actual remaining schedule in their Odds report, and accords each team’s chance of winning with its adjusted run differential.
2009 stats: Sarasota 2-1 8 Games 8 Games Started 42.1 IP 4.89 ERA 1.44 WHIP
Carolina 3-2 6 Game 6 Game Started 36 2/3 IP 2.95 ERA 1.09 WHIP
Louisville 2-2 5 Game 5 Game Started 29 IP 2.48 ERA 1.21 WHIP
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The Big Board -- In-Depth Reds Organizational Depth Chart (updated 2/23/10)
Salary Chart -- Our chart on the current and future contract status for the Reds roster (updated 2/23/10)
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I forgot that we’re in Wrigley for three daygames. 0-0 going to the 3rd.
Not listening to the game but I see that the Cubbies pinch hit for their pitcher in the 3rd. Game is 0-0. Injury?
0-0 after three. The Reds have collected 2 walks but as yet are without a hit.
The Cubs announcers noted that someone was up in the bullpen last inning, but thought that it was just somebody getting some throwing in.
“Middle back tightness” is what I just heard from Steve Stewart. So Juan Mateo is replaced by Marmol, who was the guy who completely shut down the Reds a couple months ago.
How’d this guy do so well against the Reds last time? Oh yes – it was his first major-league start, that’s why.
Two walks and an Aurilia single net the first run of the day, 1-0 Reds.
Boo-yah! 3-run homer for David Ross, 4-0 Reds.
.500 here we come!!!!
The Cubs have just two pitchers who have thrown as many as 80 innings this year: Zambrano, who’s now injured, and Rich Hill, who owns a 5.34 ERA. That’s bad.
The Reds, by contrast, have 4 pitchers over 100 innings – Elizardo, Milton, league runner-up in innings Harang, and league-leader in innings Arroyo.
Jae Kuk Ryu on to pitch for Chicago. 9.1 career innings to his credit. Another young Cub pitching prospect with tools but maybe not yet the expertise.
Clayton’s having a hell of a day, caught stealing and an error..need to bring that boy back next year.
totally forgot about the day game today, just goes to show how much they’ve lost me. good to see arroyo continues to dominate, even if it is the lowly chubs.
I forgot about it too, al. Let’s just hope to end on a high note. At least now I don’t have to decide whether to watch it or my Sci-Fi shows….Yes, I’m one of those…
Arroyo out there for what will probably be his last inning – 100 pitches now, starting the 7th. Still 4-0.
Well, maybe not his last inning. Only 5 pitches and about as quick an inning as could be. Took maybe as long as a minute and a half.
Only two hits for the Reds all day.
Okay, 120 pitches, 4-0 lead . . time to take Arroyo out.
A nice performance by Arroyo today (8 ip, 4 hits, 3 bb, 7 k)
I don’t have the game on TV, nor did I bother listening to it on radio, so I’m not sure if Narron (aka, I don’t-want-to-win-so-I’ll-start-Hollandswothless-and-Wise-in-a-must-win-game) will take him out.
…sorry for the aside on Narron…but I can’t recall a Reds manager ever making me as mad as he does, on an almost daily basis!
Not watching the game. Is Wise in? I think that for the rest of the season, I’ll only watch if I can see Wise, LaRue, Clayton, and Hopper in the same game.
Arroyo done for the day. What a month he’s had so far. Probably won’t get his ERA below 3.00 again, but if the voters are paying attention, he’s pitched his way back onto the Cy Young ballot.
yeah, ken, i thought the same thing. angel pagan.
Schoeneweis finishes the game and shutout. Reds get only four hits but hit ‘em when they count. Well, Ross did, at least.
Chris, you missed your chance – Wise did come in as a defensive sub in the ninth.
Reds win, 4-0. They got four-hit in the process. It’s a funny game, this baseball.
Angel
Pagan
There’s that timestamp issue again – I get repeated 15-second messages, and Daedalus’ reply is stamped 5 minutes before the comment being replied to.
Angel Pagan strikes out to end the game. Somehow that name sounds oxymoronic to me.
Guys and gals, I’m working on the commenting problem. Having some trouble, though; it’s not a very common problem with this type of software.
Is Mark Sheldon (mlb.com) contractually obliged to maintain the facade that the Reds are still involved in the WC race?
Thanks Chad – game threads have almost run their course, and then you have the long winter to investigate.
I was surprised to see the BP Postseason Odds report today. At the beginning of the Padres series the Reds had about a 12% postseason chance. At the end of the series it lists them at about half that, when I expected 1-2%.
Still only 1 in 20, though.
Does it take schedule into account? Cubs for 7 and Pirates for three would improve their odds on paper. That Cubs team is almost completely unrecognizeable. Buck Coats? Les Walrond??
With 22 games to go (prior to the Pirates series), we said if they win each series 2-1 or 3-1, they’d go 15-7 and finish the season at 84 wins…so probably needed to sweep at least 1 team. The Padres series sets them back one, a 3-3 record after the first 6 games (4-3 after today’s win.) Going 6-1 vs the Cubs would allow the Reds to tease us a little longer.
I’m not saying it’s likely because they’ll need all of the other teams in front of them to not have a hot streak. But I could see where the odds would give the Reds a better chance than you would expect because of their schedule.
True – the Pirates & Cubs are legitimately poor teams, Florida has been (according to season run differential) a lucky team, and Houston is average at best (again, on paper). BP does simulate the actual remaining schedule in their Odds report, and accords each team’s chance of winning with its adjusted run differential.
Well the Phillies tried to help us out in their game but pulled out a DP with bases loaded in the 9th.
Oh, no….you guys are going to make me start hoping again….
Let’s not go nuts, preach – All I’m saying is I thought it would be a 1 in 50 shot, and it’s closer to 1 in 20.
I’ve started hoping that I can hope.