Loading ...Okay, let’s give away another brand-new “1975 World Series Collector’s Edition” seven-DVD set:
Here’s the contest: the Reds are going to St. Louis next week, August 15-17. It’s a three-game series, and the Reds really need to win at least two of them.
We’re going to have a little prediction contest here. Give me your predictions as to that Reds/Cards series:
1. How many runs will the Reds score in the entire series?
2. How many runs will the Cardinals score in the series?
3. How many runs will the Reds bullpen allow during the series?
Tie-breaker 1: What will Albert Pujols’ batting average be during the three games?
Tie-breaker 2: How many walks will Adam Dunn draw in the series?
We should know the winner shortly after game three of the series. Here are the rules:
1) You must make a prediction on all three questions.
2) You have until midnight on August 14th to do so.
3) Entries must be made under this thread.
4) The individual whose total error is off the least wins.
5) One entry per person, but anyone is welcome to participate (excluding editors of Redleg Nation; well, they can enter, but can’t win)
6) Participants who fail to provide a valid email address are disqualified, as are those who make more than one entry.
7) Questions should be emailed to me.
The decision of the judge is final. Live with it.
Good luck!
Answers
1. Reds will score 14 runs
2. Cards will score 19 runs
3. Reds bullpen will allow 6 runs
Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average will be .333
Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 4 times
1. Reds will score 11 runs
2. Cards will score 8 runs
3. Reds bullpen will allow 5 runs
Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average: .444
Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 5 times
1. Reds will score 12 runs
2. Cards will score 9 runs
3. Reds bullpen will give up 3 runs
Tie #1 Pujols BA – .286
Tie #2 Dunn walks 4 times
1. Reds – 13 runs
2. Cards – 17 runs
3. Reds bullpen – 4 runs
Pujols – .333 BA
Dunn – 3 walks
Answers:
1. Reds will score 13
2. Cards will score 14
3. ‘Pen will allow 5
TB1. Poo holes will bat .363
TB2. Donkey will walk 3 times
Answers
1. Reds will score 15 runs
2. Cards will score 17 runs
3. Reds bullpen will allow 4 runs
Tiebreaker #1: Pujols batting average will be .357
Tiebreaker #2: Dunn will walk 3 times
1. The Reds will score 12 runs.
2. The Cardinals will score 15 runs.
3. The Cardinals will score 6 runs off the Reds’ bullpen.
4. Albert Pujols will hit .385 for the series.
5. Adam Dunn will walk twice.
1. 18
2. 21
3. 5
Tie-breaker 1: .345
Tie-breaker 2: 3
1. Reds will score 16 runs
2. Cardinals will score 15 runs
3. Reds bull pen will allow 2 runs
Tie-breaker 1: .275 avg for Pujols
Tie-breaker 2: Dunn will be issued 4 bb
Reds score 11
Cards score 22
Bullpen allows 8
Pujols .400
Dunn walks twice
1. Reds will score 11 runs
2. Cardinals will score 15
3. Bullpen will allow 5 runs
Pujols will bat .320
Dunn will walk 4 times
1. 15
2. 20
3. 6
Tie-breaker 1: 340
Tie-breaker 2: 3
I left the decimal point out of the 1st Tie-breaker; for you technicians, it should read .340.
Reds score 14
Cards score 16
Bullpen allows 5
Pujols .182
Dunn 1 walk
Reds score 16
Cards score 12
Bullpen allows 4
Albert bats .272
Dunn will walk 3 times
1. Reds score: 20
2. Cardinals score: 12
3. Bullpen allows: 4
Tie-breaker1: Pujols bats .30769
Tie-breaker2: Dunn will walk 3 times
CIN scores 17.
STL scores 10.
CIN bullpen allows 1.
Pujols bats .231 .
Dunn takes 4 BB’s.
CIN scores 17.
STL scores 15.
CIN bullpen allows 6.
Pujols bats .333
Dunn walks 5x.
CIN scores 16
STL scores 20
Cin ‘pen allows 6
Pujols bats .340
Dunn walks 4 times
cin – 19
stl – 10
cin bp – 3
pujols – .225
Dunn – 5
#1. The reds will put up 20
#2. The cards will put up 11
#3. The pen will give up 4
TB1. Pujols will hit .400
Tb2. Dunn will walk 5 times
Reds score 21
Cards score 18
Bullpen allows 12
Pujols hits .400
Dunn Walks 2 times
OK, I’ll bite.
1. Reds score 14.
2. Cards score 17
3. Reds’ bullpen allows 8.
TB1: Pujols bats .231, 3-for-13
TB2: Dunn walks 5 times.
1. Reds will score 19 runs
2. Cards will score 15 runs
3. Bullpen gives up 3 runs
TB-1. Pujols bats .278
TB-2. Dunn walks 5 times
1. Reds – 16 runs
2. Cards – 16 runs
3. Reds bullpen – 5 runs
Pujols – .300 BA
Dunn – 2 walks
1. How many runs will the Reds score in the entire series? 18
2. How many runs will the Cardinals score in the series? 17
3. How many runs will the Reds bullpen allow during the series? 10
Tie-breaker 1: What will Albert Pujols’ batting average be during the three games? .392
Tie-breaker 2: How many walks will Adam Dunn draw in the series? 3
quick question regarding bullpen runs… all runs allowed by the bullpen will be counted? i.e. credited to a reliever, but both earned and unearned count (but not inherited runners?)
1. Reds – 18 runs
2. Cards – 16 runs
3. Reds bullpen – 6 runs
Pujols – .364 BA
Dunn – 3 walks
1) Reds-16
2) Cards-13
3) bullpen-6
Pujols-.333
Dunner-4 walks
1. 14
2. 17
3. 6
T1: .250
T2: 3
1. Reds will score 18
2. Cardinals will score 14
3. Bullpen will allow 8
Pujos-.400
Dunner-3 walks
1. Reds will score 17
2. Cards will score 8
3. Bullpen gives up 3
T1. Pujols BA – .215
T2. Dunner walks – 2
1. Reds – 16
2. Cards – 17
3. Pen – 5
Pujols – .357
Dunn – 5 Walks
Reds – 22
Cards – 19
Bullpen – gives up 7
Pujols – .333
Dunn – 4 BB
1. Reds will score 19 runs.
2. Cards will score 19 runs.
3. Reds’ bullpen will allow five runs.
TB1: Pujols’ avg will be .286
TB2: Donkey will walk twice.
1. Reds-13 runs
2. Cards-10 runs
3. bullpen-3 runs
Pujols-.333
Dunn-6 walks
1- Reds 24
2- Cards 21
3- Bullpen will allow 4 runs
TB1: .430
TB2: 3
1- Reds 16
2- Cards 15
3- Bullpen will allow 4 runs
TB1: .333 Pujols avg
TB2: 3 walks
Reds 16
Cards 18
Pen 4
Pujols .363
Dunn walks: 3
1. 17
2. 17
3. 10
TB 1. .417
TB 2. 3
1. 13
2. 13
3. 6
T1. .308
T2. 3
1. 14
2. 16
3. 6
t1. .335
t2. 4
1. Reds : 17
2. Cardinals : 16
3. bullpen : 6
Pujols : .320
Dunn : 3
Reds score 15
Cards score 18
Bullpen allows 7
Pujols hits .364
Dunn walks twice
Reds score 17
Cards score 19
Reds bullpen allows 7 runs
Tie Breaker #1 Albert Pujols bats .350
Tie Breaker #2 Adam Dunn walks 4 times
Reds score 20.
Cardinals score 15.
Bullpen allows 4.
Pujhols bats .333
Dunn walks 4
Being the ANALytical type I have accumulated the estimates in excel, this way I can carefully track, with each run that scores, the progress toward my victory. Bwah, hah, hah, hah.
So, for laughs and in case you are curious, I get …
44 entries with the following minimim, average, and maximum predictions.
Reds: 11, 16.14, 24
Cards: 8, 15.50, 22
Bullpen: 1, 5.39, 12
Pujols: .182, .329, .444
BB Dunn: 1, 3.43, 6
Seems like a good response, looks like the Pujols tie breaker will be needed unless all the games are either quite well pitched or slugfests.
Good luck all.
Dang, just occured to me that my guess precludes a sweep. Kudos to anyone that has the Reds scoring at least three runs more than the Cards.
Reds score 13.
Cardinals score 9.
Bullpen allows 4.
Pujols bats .300
Dunn walks 2
It is looking like the few people who predicted a relatively low number of runs are in the drivers seat. The third game would hae to 9-8 Reds just to get to the average. Check out posts number 2, 3, 36 for the close ones.
I am not official scorekeeper, but post number three looks like the winner. Congratulations Jon.
What happened to the offense … Jeff Weaver, yikes.
Reds scored: 8
Cardinals scored: 9
Bullpen allowed: 2 runs (I think)
…good job to someone (wasn’t me
:cry:)
you are right on the 2 runs from the pen
Looks like Jon Lawrence #3 won by being off by a total of only 5, but I am not the final say
Yep, it was Jon Lawrence. Good predicting!